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Michel Crucifix

Professeur ordinaire

SST/SC Faculté des sciences (SC)

SST/SC/PHYS Ecole de physique (PHYS)

SST/ELI Earth and Life Institute (ELI)

SST/ELI/ELIC Earth & Climate (ELIC)

  • Expertise :
  • climat
  • Paleozoique
  • dynamique non-linéaire

I seek to understand the climate system through the fundamental concepts of physics, geochemistry, and mathematics. It includes  the study of energy and chemical balances, the application of dynamical systems theory, and the role of celestial mechanics underlying the Milanković cycles. It also involves methods for analysing climatic time series, ranging from spectral techniques to non-linear approaches.

My objective is to connect these theoretical concepts with observations. Recent and ongoing projects include identifying the causes and dynamics of climatic events throughout Earth’s history (anoxia, glaciations), developing methods for numerical simulations of climate spanning tens of millions of years, and probing the long-term consequences of industrial emissions on climate, up to timescales of a hundreds of  thousand years. 

2026
Article de journal

Gérard, J., Pohl, A., Sablon, L., Huygh, J., Da Silva, A.-C., & Crucifix, M. (2026). Spatially contrasted response of Devonian anoxia to astronomical forcing. Climate of the Past, 22, 1003-1021. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-22-1003-2026 (Original work published 2026)


Karyu, H., Kuroda, T., Määttänen, A., Mahieux, A., Viscardy, S., Terada, N., Robert, S., Vandaele, A., & Crucifix, M. (2026). A cosmic origin of Venus’ lower haze. Nature Astronomy. Published. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41550-026-02843-4 (Original work published 2026)


Williams, C., Lord, N., Kennedy-Asser, A., Ren, X., Crucifix, M., Richards, D., Kontula, A., Thorne, M., Valdes, P., Foster, G., Brown, R., Mcclymont, E., & Lunt, D. (2026). The relative role of direct orbital forcing versus CO2 and ice feedbacks on Quaternary climate. Nature Communications, 17, 4254. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-70750-3 (Original work published 2026)


Huygh, J. J. C., Algeo, T. J., Sageman, B. B., Arts, M., Ver Straeten, C. A., Over, D. J., Gérard, J., Sablon, L., Crucifix, M., & Da Silva, A.-C. (2026). Astronomical control on marine anoxia during the Kellwasser Crisis and Rhinestreet Event (Appalachian Basin, New York, USA). Global and Planetary Change, 257, 105216. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2025.105216 (Original work published 2026)


2025
Article de journal

Karyu, H., Kuroda, T., Mahieux, A., Viscardy, S., Määttänen, A., Terada, N., Robert, S., Vandaele, A. C., & Crucifix, M. (2025). A Microphysics Model of Multicomponent Venus’ Clouds With a High‐Accuracy Condensation Scheme. Earth and Space Science, 12(6), e2023EF003959. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025ea004203 (Original work published 2025)


Laridon, A., Couplet, V., Gérard, J., Thiery, W., & Crucifix, M. (2025). Connecting complex and simplified models of tipping elements: a nonlinear two-forcing emulator for the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. Open Research Europe, 5, 87. https://doi.org/10.12688/openreseurope.19479.2 (Original work published 2025)


Vanderveken, L., & Crucifix, M. (2025). Rate-Induced Transitions and Noise-Driven Resilience in Vegetation Pattern Dynamic. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics. Published. https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-32-189-2025 (Original work published 2025)


Couplet, V., Martínez Montero, M., & Crucifix, M. (2025). SURFER v3.0: a fast model with ice sheet tipping points and carbon cycle feedbacks for short- and long-term climate scenarios. Geoscientific Model Development, 18(10), 3081-3129. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-3081-2025 (Original work published 2025)


Hamilton, O., Demaeyer, J., Crucifix, M., & Vannitsem, S. (2025). Using unstable periodic orbits to understand blocking behavior in a low order land–atmosphere model. Chaos : an interdisciplinary journal of nonlinear science, 35(8), 83126. https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0268852 (Original work published 2025)


Gérard, J., Sablon, L., Huygh, J. J. C., Da Silva, A.-C., Pohl, A., Vérard, C., & Crucifix, M. (2025). Exploring the mechanisms of Devonian oceanic anoxia: impact of ocean dynamics, palaeogeography, and orbital forcing. Climate of the Past, 21(1), 239-260. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-21-239-2025 (Original work published 2025)


Sablon, L., Maffre, P., Goddéris, Y., Valdes, P. J., Gérard, J., Huygh, J. J. C., Da Silva, A.-C., & Crucifix, M. (2025). An emulator-based modelling framework for studying astronomical controls on ocean anoxia with an application to the Devonian. Geoscientific Model Development, 18(24), 10095-10117. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-10095-2025 (Original work published 2025)


Mitsui, T., Ditlevsen, P., Boers, N., & Crucifix, M. (2025). 100-kyr ice age cycles as a timescale matching problem. Earth System Dynamics. Submitted. (Original work published 2025)


2024
Article de journal

Martínez Montero, M., Brede, N., Couplet, V., Crucifix, M., Botta, N., & Crucifix, M. (2024). Lost options commitment: how short-term policies affect long-term scope of action. Oxford Open Climate Change, 4(1), kgae004. https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfclm/kgae004 (Original work published 2024)


Gérard, J., & Crucifix, M. (2024). Diagnosing the causes of AMOC slowdown in a coupled model: a cautionary tale. Earth System Dynamics, 15(2), 293-306. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-293-2024 (Original work published 2024)


Ben‐Yami, M., Good, P., Jackson, L. C., Crucifix, M., Hu, A., Saenko, O., Swingedouw, D., & Boers, N. (2024). Impacts of AMOC Collapse on Monsoon Rainfall: A Multi‐Model Comparison. Earth’s Future, 12(9), e2023EF003959. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023ef003959 (Original work published 2024)


2023
Article de journal

Botta, N., Brede, N., Crucifix, M., Ionescu, C., Jansson, P., Li, Z., Martínez Montero, M., & Richter, T. (2023). Responsibility Under Uncertainty: Which Climate Decisions Matter Most? Environmental Modeling & Assessment, 28(3), 337-365. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10666-022-09867-w (Original work published 2023)


Wood, R. A., Crucifix, M., Lenton, T. M., Mach, K. J., Moore, C., New, M., Sharpe, S., Stocker, T. F., & Sutton, R. T. (2023). A Climate Science Toolkit for High Impact‐Low Likelihood Climate Risks. Earth’s Future, 11(4). https://doi.org/10.1029/2022ef003369 (Original work published 2023)


Hamilton, O., Demaeyer, J., Vannitsem, S., & Crucifix, M. (2023). Multistability in a coupled ocean–atmosphere reduced‐order model: Nonlinear temperature equations. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. Published. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4564 (Original work published 2023)


Van Breedam, J., Huybrechts, P., & Crucifix, M. (2023). Hysteresis and orbital pacing of the early Cenozoic Antarctic ice sheet. Climate of the Past, 19(12), 2551-2568. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-19-2551-2023 (Original work published 2023)


Verbitsky, M. Y., & Crucifix, M. (2023). Do phenomenological dynamical paleoclimate models have physical similarity with Nature? Seemingly, not all of them do. Climate of the Past, 19(9), 1793-1803. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-19-1793-2023 (Original work published 2023)


Vanderveken, L., Martínez Montero, M., & Crucifix, M. (2023). Existence and influence of mixed states in a model of vegetation patterns. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 30(4), 585-599. https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-30-585-2023 (Original work published 2023)


Braem, S., Crucifix, M., Nieberding, C., & Van Dyck, H. (2023). Microclimatic buffering in forest, agricultural, and urban landscapes through the lens of a grass‐feeding insect. Ecosphere, 14(7), e4611. https://doi.org/10.1002/ecs2.4611 (Original work published 2023)


2022
Article de journal

Martínez Montero, M., Crucifix, M., Couplet, V., Brede, N., & Crucifix, M. (2022). SURFER v2.0: a flexible and simple model linking anthropogenic CO<sub>2</sub> emissions and solar radiation modification to ocean acidification and sea level rise. Geoscientific Model Development, 15(21), 8059-8084. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-8059-2022 (Original work published 2022)


Wouters, S., Crucifix, M., Sinnesael, M., Da Silva, A.-C., Zeeden, C., Zivanovic, M., Boulvain, F., & Devleeschouwer, X. (2022). A Decomposition Approach to Cyclostratigraphic Signal Processing. Earth - Science Reviews, 225, 103894. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2021.103894 (Original work published 2022)


Sun, Y., Wang, T., Yin, Q., Lyu, A., Crucifix, M., Cai, Y., Ai, L., Clemens, S., & An, Z. (2022). East Asian climate changes during the Quaternary as viewed from multiple proxies and modeling results. Quaternary Science Reviews, 288, 107593. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2022.107593 (Original work published 2022)


Van Breedam, J., Huybrechts, P., & Crucifix, M. (2022). Modelling evidence for late Eocene Antarctic glaciations. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 586, 117532. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2022.117532 (Original work published 2022)


Cornejo Rubin De Celis, S. S., & Crucifix, M. (2022). Taking the Gaia hypothesis at face value. Ecological Complexity, 49, 100981. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecocom.2022.100981 (Original work published 2022)


2021
Article de journal

Brovkin, V., Brook, E., Williams, J. W., Bathiany, S., Lenton, T. M., Barton, M., DeConto, R. M., Donges, J. F., Ganopolski, A., Crucifix, M., Vanderveken, L., & et al. (2021). Past abrupt changes, tipping points and cascading impacts in the Earth system. Nature Geoscience, 14(8), 550-558. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-021-00790-5 (Original work published 2021)


Cornejo Rubin De Celis, S., & Crucifix, M. (2021). Earth’s Complexity Is Non-Computable: The Limits of Scaling Laws, Nonlinearity and Chaos. Entropy : international and interdisciplinary journal of entropy and information studies, 23(7), 915. https://doi.org/10.3390/e23070915 (Original work published 2021)


Lenton, T. M., Kohler, T. A., Marquet, P. A., Boyle, R. A., Crucifix, M., Wilkinson, D. M., & Scheffer, M. (2021). Survival of the Systems. Trends in Ecology & Evolution. Published. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2020.12.003 (Original work published 2021)


Lyu, A., Yin, Q., Crucifix, M., & Sun, Y. B. (2021). Diverse Regional Sensitivity of Summer Precipitation in East Asia to Ice Volume, CO2 and Astronomical Forcing. Geophysical Research Letters, 48(7). https://doi.org/10.1029/2020gl092005 (Original work published 2021)


von der Heydt, A. S., Ashwin, P., Camp, C. D., Crucifix, M., Dijkstra, H. A., Ditlevsen, P., & Lenton, T. M. (2021). Quantification and interpretation of the climate variability record. Global and Planetary Change, 197, 103399. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2020.103399 (Original work published 2021)


Jebeile, J., & Crucifix, M. (2021). Value management and model pluralism in climate science. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A, 88, 120-127. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.shpsa.2021.06.004 (Original work published 2021)


Verbitsky, M., & Crucifix, M. (2021). ESD Ideas: The Peclet number is a cornerstone of the orbital and millennial Pleistocene variability. Earth System Dynamics, 12, 63-67. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-63-2021 (Original work published 2021)


Van Breedam, J., Huybrechts, P., & Crucifix, M. (2021). A Gaussian process emulator for simulating ice sheet–climate interactions on a multi-million-year timescale: CLISEMv1.0. Geoscientific Model Development, 14(10), 6373-6401. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-6373-2021 (Original work published 2021)


2020
Article de journal

Verbitsky, M. Y., & Crucifix, M. (2020). Pi-theorem generalization of the ice-age theory. Earth System Dynamics, 11(1), 281-289. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3473957 (Original work published 2020)


Alexandrov, D. V., Bashkirtseva, I. A., Crucifix, M., & Ryashko, L. B. (2020). Nonlinear climate dynamics: From deterministic behaviour to stochastic excitability and chaos. Physics Reports, 902, 1-60. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physrep.2020.11.002 (Original work published 2021)


Holveck, M.-J., Muller, D., Visser, B., Pels, C., Timmermans, A., Colonval, L., Jan, F., Crucifix, M., & Nieberding, C. (2020). Sexual selection drives maladaptive learning under climate warming. bioRxiv, 45. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.11.05.36956 (Original work published 2020)


Jebeile, J., & Crucifix, M. (2020). Multi-model ensembles in climate science: Mathematical structures and expert judgements. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A, 83, 44-52. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.shpsa.2020.03.001 (Original work published 2020)


Chapitre de livre

Crucifix, M., & Annan, J. (2020). Is the concept of ‘tipping point’ helpful for describing and communicating possible climate futures? In Hulme, Mike (ed.), Contemporary Climate Change Debates (A Student Primer, p. p. 251). Routledge Taylor and Francis Group.


2019
Article de journal

Ditlevsen, P., Mitsui, T., & Crucifix, M. (2019). Crossover and peaks in the Pleistocene climate spectrum; understanding from simple ice age models. Climate Dynamics, 54(3-4), 1801-1818. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-05087-3 (Original work published 2020)


Verbitsky, M. Y., Crucifix, M., & Volobuev, D. M. (2019). ESD Ideas: Propagation of high-frequency forcing to ice age dynamics. Earth System Dynamics, 10(2), 257-260. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-257-2019 (Original work published 2019)


Carson, J., Crucifix, M., Preston, S. P., & Wilkinson, R. D. (2019). Quantifying age and model uncertainties in palaeoclimate data and dynamical climate models with a joint inferential analysis. Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 475(2224), 20180854. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspa.2018.0854 (Original work published 2019)


Chapitre de livre

Crucifix, M. (2019). Epimetron. In Chiotis, Eustachios (ed.), Climate Changes in the Holocene: Impacts and Human Adaptation (p. p. 397-399). CRC Press Taylor and Francis Group. https://doi.org/10.1201/9781351260244


Crucifix, M. (2019). Pleistocene glaciations. In Chiotis, Eustachios (ed.), Climate Changes in the Holocene: Impacts and Human Adaptation (p. p. 77-116). CRC Press Taylor and Francis Group.


2018
Article de journal

Lenoir, G., & Crucifix, M. (2018). A general theory on frequency and time–frequency analysis of irregularly sampled time series based on projection methods – Part 1: Frequency analysis. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 25(1), 145-173. https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-25-145-2018 (Original work published 2018)


Steffen, W., Rockström, J., Richardson, K., Lenton, T. M., Folke, C., Liverman, D., Summerhayes, C. P., Barnosky, A. D., Cornell, S. E., Crucifix, M., Donges, J. F., Fetzer, I., Lade, S. J., Scheffer, M., Winkelmann, R., & Schellnhuber, H. J. (2018). Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 115(33), 8252-8259. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1810141115 (Original work published 2018)


Erb, M. P., Jackson, C. S., Broccoli, A. J., Lea, D. W., Valdes, P. J., Crucifix, M., & DiNezio, P. N. (2018). Model evidence for a seasonal bias in Antarctic ice cores. Nature Communications, 9(1), 1361. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-03800-0 (Original work published 2018)


Carson, J., Crucifix, M., Preston, S., & Wilkinson, R. D. (2018). Bayesian model selection for the glacial-interglacial cycle. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics), 67, 25-54. https://doi.org/10.1111/rssc.12222 (Original work published 2017)


Mitsui, T., Lenoir, G., & Crucifix, M. (2018). Is the glacial climate scale invariant? Dynamics and Statistics of the Climate System. Published. https://doi.org/10.1093/climsys/dzy011 (Original work published 2018)


Verbitsky, M. Y., Crucifix, M., & Volobuev, D. M. (2018). A theory of Pleistocene glacial rhythmicity. Earth System Dynamics, 9(3), 1025-1043. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-1025-2018 (Original work published 2018)


Kageyama, M., Braconnot, P., Harrison, S. P., Haywood, A. M., Jungclaus, J. H., Otto-Bliesner, B. L., Peterschmitt, J.-Y., Abe-Ouchi, A., Albani, S., Bartlein, P. J., Brierley, C., Crucifix, M., Dolan, A., Fernandez-Donado, L., Fischer, H., Hopcroft, P. O., Ivanovic, R. F., Lambert, F., Lunt, D. J., et al. (2018). The PMIP4 contribution to CMIP6 – Part 1: Overview and over-arching analysis plan. Geoscientific Model Development, 11(3), 1033-1057. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-1033-2018 (Original work published 2018)


Lenoir, G., & Crucifix, M. (2018). A general theory on frequency and time–frequency analysis of irregularly sampled time series based on projection methods – Part 2: Extension to time–frequency analysis. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 25(1), 175-200. https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-25-175-2018 (Original work published 2018)


Chapitre de livre

Rougier, J. C., & Crucifix, M. (2018). Uncertainly in climate science and climate policy. In Lloyd, L. (ed.) ; Winsberg , E (ed.) (ed.), Climate Modeling. L. Lloyd, E. Winsberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-65058-6_12


2017
Article de journal

Crucifix, M., de Vernal, A., & Franzke, C. (2017). Centennial climate change: The unknown variability zone. Past Global Changes Magazine, 25, 133. https://doi.org/10.22498/pages.25.3.133 (Original work published 2017)


De Vleeschouwer, D., Vahlenkamp, M., Crucifix, M., & Pälike, H. (2017). Alternating Southern and Northern Hemisphere climate response to astronomical forcing during the past 35 m.y. Geology (Boulder), 45(4), 375-378. https://doi.org/10.1130/G38663.1 (Original work published 2017)


Tzedakis, P. C., Crucifix, M., Mitsui, T., & Wolff, E. W. (2017). A simple rule to determine which insolation cycles lead to interglacials. Nature : international weekly journal of science, 542(7642), 427-432. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature21364 (Original work published 2017)


Mitsui, T., & Crucifix, M. (2017). Influence of external forcings on abrupt millennial-scale climate changes: a statistical modelling study. Climate Dynamics. Published. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3235-z (Original work published 2017)


Moldwin, M. B., Florindo, F., Okin, G., Robock, A., Rohling, E. J., Cardenas, B., Carlton, A., Chen, K. H., Crucifix, M., Gettelman, A., Hubbard, A., Katsura, T., & Painter, T. H. (2017). Why and How to Write a High-Impact Review Paper: Lessons From Eight Years of Editorial Board Service to Reviews of Geophysics. Reviews of Geophysics. Published. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017rg000587 (Original work published 2017)


Lord, N. S., Crucifix, M., Lunt, D. J., Thorne, M. C., Bounceur, N., Dowsett, H., O&amp;apos;Brien, C. L., & Ridgwell, A. (2017). Emulation of long-term changes in global climate: application to the late Pliocene and future. Climate of the Past, 13, 1539-1571. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-13-1539-2017 (Original work published 2017)


Ditlevsen, P., & Crucifix, M. (2017). On the importance of centennial variability for ice ages. Past Global Changes Magazine, 25, 152-153. https://doi.org/10.22498/pages.25.3.152 (Original work published 2017)


Valdes, P. J., Armstrong, E., Badger, M. P. S., Bradshaw, C. D., Bragg, F., Crucifix, M., Davies-Barnard, T., Day, J. J., Farnsworth, A., Gordon, C., Hopcroft, P. O., Kennedy, A. T., Lord, N. S., Lunt, D. J., Marzocchi, A., Parry, L. M., Pope, V., Roberts, W. H. G., Stone, E. J., et al. (2017). The BRIDGE HadCM3 family of climate models: HadCM3@Bristol v1.0. Geoscientific Model Development, 10, 3715-3743. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-3715-2017 (Original work published 2017)


2016
Article de journal

von der Heydt, A. S., Dijkstra, H. A., van de Wal, R. S., Caballero, R., Crucifix, M., Foster, G. L., Huber, M., Köhler, P., Rohling, E., & Valdes, P. (2016). Lessons on Climate Sensitivity From Past Climate Changes. Current Climate Change Reports. Published. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-016-0049-3 (Original work published 2016)


Bathiany, S., Dijkstra, H., Crucifix, M., Dakos, V., Brovkin, V., Williamson, M. S., Lenton, T. M., & Scheffer, M. (2016). Beyond bifurcation: using complex models to understand and predict abrupt climate change. Dynamics and Statistics of the Climate System, 1(1), dzw004. https://doi.org/10.1093/climsys/dzw004 (Original work published 2016)


Crucifix, M. (2016). Climate science: Earth’s narrow escape from a big freeze. Nature : international weekly journal of science, 529(7585), 162-163. https://doi.org/10.1038/529162a (Original work published 2016)


Lovejoy, S., Crucifix, M., & De Vernal, A. (2016). Characterizing Climate Fluctuations over Wide-Scale Ranges. Eos, 97. https://doi.org/10.1029/2016eo055791 (Original work published 2016)


Berger, A., Crucifix, M., Hodell, D. A., Mangili, C., McManus, J. F., Otto-Bliesner, B., Pol, K., Raynaud, D., Skinner, L. C., Tzedakis, P. C., Wolff, E. W., Yin, Q., & et al. (2016). Interglacials of the last 800,000 years. Reviews of Geophysics, 54(1), 162-219. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015RG000482 (Original work published 2016)


Chapitre de livre

Crucifix, M., Mitsui, T., & Lenoir, G. (2016). Challenges for ice age dynamics: a dynamical systems perspective, Nonlinear and Stochastic Climate Dynamics. In Christian L. E. Franzke - Terence J. O’Kane (ed.), Nonlinear and Stochastic Climate Dynamics (p. p. 1-32).


Crucifix, M., & Mitsui, T. (2016). Effects of Additive Noise on the Stability of Glacial Cycles, Mathematical Paradigms of Climate Science. In Ancona Fabio, Cannarsa Piermarco, Jones Christopher, e.a. (ed.), Mathematical Paradigms of Climate Science (p. p. 93-113). Springer INdAM Series. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-39092-5_6


2015
Chapitre de livre

Crucifix, M. (2015). Climat (science et epistemologie). In Bourg Dominique, Papaux Alain (ed.), Dictionnaire de la pensée écologique (p. p. 165-166). Presses universitaires de France.


Article de journal

Araya Melo, P. A., Crucifix, M., & Bounceur, N. (2015). Global sensitivity analysis of the Indian monsoon during the Pleistocene. Climate of the Past, 11(11), 45-61. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-45-2015 (Original work published 2015)


Regoli, F., de Garidel-Thoron, T., Tachikawa, K., Jian, Z., Ye, L., Droxler, A. W., Lenoir, G., Crucifix, M., Barbarin, N., & Beaufort, L. (2015). Progressive shoaling of the equatorial Pacific thermocline over the last eight glacial periods. Paleoceanography, 30(5), 439-455. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014PA002696 (Original work published 2015)


Bounceur, N., Crucifix, M., & Wilkinson, R. D. (2015). Global sensitivity analysis of the climate–vegetation system to astronomical forcing:an emulator-based approach. Earth System Dynamics, 6(1), 205-224. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-205-2015 (Original work published 2015)


Mitsui, T., Crucifix, M., & Aihara, K. (2015). Bifurcations and strange nonchaotic attractors in a phase oscillator model of glacial–interglacial cycles. Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, 306, 25-33. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physd.2015.05.007 (Original work published 2015)


Mitsui, T., Crucifix, M., & Aihara, K. (2015). Bifurcations and strange non chaotic attractors in a phase oscillator model of glacial-interglacial cycles. Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena. Published. (Original work published 2015)


2014
Article de journal

De Vleeschouwer, D., Crucifix, M., Bounceur, N., & Claeys, P. (2014). The impact of astronomical forcing on the Late Devonian greenhouse climate. Global and Planetary Change, 120, 65-80. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2014.06.002 (Original work published 2014)


Bounceur, N., Crucifix, M., & Wilkinson, R. D. (2014). Global sensitivity analysis of the climate–vegetation system to astronomical forcing: an emulator-based approach. Earth System Dynamics Discussions, 5(5), 901-943. https://doi.org/10.5194/esdd-5-901-2014 (Original work published 2014)


Maris, M. N. A., de Boer, B., Ligtenberg, S. R. M., Crucifix, M., van de Berg, W. J., & Oerlemans, J. (2014). Modelling the evolution of the Antarctic ice sheet since the last interglacial. The Cryosphere, 8(4), 1347-1360. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-8-1347-2014 (Original work published 2014)


Araya-Melo, P. A., Crucifix, M., & Bounceur, N. (2014). Global sensitivity analysis of Indian Monsoon during the Pleistocene. Climate of the Past Discussions, 10(2), 1609-1651. https://doi.org/10.5194/cpd-10-1609-2014 (Original work published 2014)


Maris, M. N. A., Ligtenberg, S. R. M., Crucifix, M., de Boer, B., & Oerlemans, J. (2014). Modelling the evolution of the Antarctic Ice Sheet since the last interglacial. The Cryosphere Discussions, 8(1), 85-120. https://doi.org/10.5194/tcd-8-85-2014 (Original work published 2014)


Yin, Q., Singh, U., Berger, A., Guo, Z., & Crucifix, M. (2014). Relative impact of insolation and the Indo-Pacific warm pool surface temperature on the East Asia summer monsoon during the MIS-13 interglacial. Climate of the Past, 10(1), 1645-1657. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-10-1645-2014 (Original work published 2014)


2013
Article de journal

De Saedeleer, B., Crucifix, M., & Wieczorek, S. (2013). Is the astronomical forcing a reliable and unique pacemakerfor climate? A conceptual model study. Climate Dynamics, 40, 273-294. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1316-1 (Original work published 2013)


Crucifix, M. (2013). Why could ice ages be unpredictable? Climate of the Past, 9(5), 2253-2267. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-9-2253-2013 (Original work published 2013)


2012
Article de journal

Crucifix, M., Harrison, S., & Brierley, C. (2012). Recent and deep pasts in paleoclimate model intercomparison project. Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union, 93(51), 539. https://doi.org/10.1029/2012EO510010 (Original work published 2012)


Rohling, E. J., Sluijs, A., Dijkstra, H. A., Köhler, P., Van De Wal, R. S. W., Von Der Heydt, A. S., Beerling, D. J., Berger, A., Bijl, P. K., & Crucifix, M. (2012). Making sense of palaeoclimate sensitivity. Nature : international weekly journal of science, 491, 683-691. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature11574 (Original work published 2012)


Crucifix, M. (2012). Traditional and novel approaches to palaeoclimate modelling. Quaternary Science Reviews, 57(4), 1-16. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2012.09.010 (Original work published 2012)


Crucifix, M. (2012). Oscillators and relaxation phenomena in Pleistocene climate theory. Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. A, 370(1962), 1140-1165. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2011.0315 (Original work published 2012)


De Vleeschouwer, D., Da Silva, A. C., Boulvain, F., Crucifix, M., & Claeys, P. (2012). Precessional and half-precessional climate forcing of Mid-Devonian monsoon-like dynamics. Climate of the Past, 8(1), 337-351. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-8-337-2012 (Original work published 2012)


2011
Article de journal

Crucifix, M. (2011). La climatologie aujourd’hui. Revue des Questions Scientifiques, 182, 3-32. (Original work published 2011)


Crucifix, M. (2011). How can a glacial inception be predicted? The Holocene : a major interdisciplinary journal focusing on recent environmental change, 21(5), 831-842. https://doi.org/10.1177/0959683610394883 (Original work published 2011)


Ruddiman, W. F., Crucifix, M., & Oldfield, F. A. (2011). Introduction to the early-Anthropocene Special Issue. The Holocene : a major interdisciplinary journal focusing on recent environmental change, 21, 713. https://doi.org/10.1177/0959683611398053 (Original work published 2011)


Dubinkina, S., Goosse, H., Sallaz-Damaz, Y., Crespin, E., & Crucifix, M. (2011). Testing a particle filter to reconstruct climate changes over the past centuries. International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos in Applied Sciences and Engineering, 21(12), 3611-3618. https://doi.org/10.1142/S0218127411030763 (Original work published 2011)


2010
Article de journal

Deleersnijder, E., Bard, E., Crucifix, M., Fichefet, T., Hanert, E., & et al. (2010). Le réchauffement climatique est réel et l’Homme en est le principal responsable. Le Soir, 15. (Original work published 2010)


2009
Article de journal

Crucifix, M., Claussen, M., Ganssen, G., Guiot, J., Guo, Z., Kiefer, T., Loutre, M.-F., Rousseau, D.-D., & Wolff, E. (2009). Preface ‘Climate change: from the geological past to the uncertain future - a symposium honouring André, Berger’. Climate of the Past, 5(4), 707-711. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-5-707-2009 (Original work published 2009)


Rojas, M., Moreno, P. I., Kageyama, M., Crucifix, M., Hewitt, C., Abe-Ouchi, A., Ohgaito, R., Brady, E. C., & Hope, P. (2009). The Southern Westerlies during the last glacial maximum in PMIP2 simulations. Climate Dynamics, 32(4), 525-548. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-008-0421-7 (Original work published 2009)


Yin, Q., Berger, A., & Crucifix, M. (2009). Individual and combined effects of ice sheets and precession on MIS-13 climate. Climate of the Past, 5(2), 229-243. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-5-229-2009 (Original work published 2009)


Goidts, E., van Wesemael, B., & Crucifix, M. (2009). Magnitude and sources of uncertainties in soil organic carbon (SOC) stock assessments at various scales. European Journal of Soil Science, 60(5), 723-739. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2389.2009.01157.x (Original work published 2009)


Crucifix, M., & Rougier, J. (2009). On the use of simple dynamical systems for climate predictions. The European Physical Journal. Special Topics, 174, 11-31. https://doi.org/10.1140/epjst/e2009-01087-5 (Original work published 2009)


Crucifix, M., & Rougier, J. (2009). On the use of simple dynamical systems for climate predictions: A Bayesian prediction of the next glacial inception. European Physics Journal - Special Topics, 174, 11-31. (Original work published 2009)


Crucifix, M. (2009). How to cope with climate’s complexity. European Review, 17(2), 371-402. (Original work published 2009)


Otto-Bliesner, B. L., Schneider, R., Brady, E. C., Kucera, M., Abe-Ouchi, A., Bard, E., Braconnot, P., Crucifix, M., Hewitt, C., Kageyama, M., Marti, O., Paul, A., Rosell-Mele, A., Waelbroeck, C., Weber, S., Weinelt, M., & Yu, Y. (2009). A comparison of PMIP2 model simulations and the MARGO proxy reconstruction for tropical sea surface temperatures at last glacial maximum. Climate Dynamics, 32(6), 799-815. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-008-0509-0 (Original work published 2009)


2008
Article de journal

Murakami, S., Ohgaito, R., Abe-Ouchi, A., Crucifix, M., & Otto-Bliesner, B. L. (2008). Global-scale energy and freshwater balance in glacial climate: A comparison of three PMIP2 LGM simulations. Journal of Climate, 21(19), 5008-5033. https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2104.1 (Original work published 2008)


Yin, Q., Berger, A., Driesschaert, E., Goosse, H., Loutre, M.-F., & Crucifix, M. (2008). The Eurasian ice sheet reinforces the East Asian summer monsoon during the interglacial 500 000 years ago. Climate of the Past, 4(2), 79-90. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-4-79-2008 (Original work published 2008)


Crucifix, M. (2008). Global change: Climate’s astronomical sensors. Nature : international weekly journal of science, 456(7218), 47-48. https://doi.org/10.1038/456047a (Original work published 2008)


2007
Article de journal

Edwards, T. L., Crucifix, M., & Harrison, S. P. (2007). Using the past to constrain the future: how the palaeorecord can improve estimates of global warming. Progress in Physical Geography : Earth and Environment, 31(5), 481-500. https://doi.org/10.1177/0309133307083295 (Original work published 2007)


Loutre, M.-F., Berger, A., Crucifix, M., Desprat, S., & Sanchez Goñi, M. F. (2007). Interglacials as simulated by the LLN 2-D NH and MoBidiC climate models. Developments in Quaternary Science, 7, 547-561. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1571-0866(07)80061-3 (Original work published 2007)


Weber, S. L., Drijfhout, S. S., Abe-Ouchi, A., Crucifix, M., Eby, M., Ganopolski, A., Murakami, S., Otto-Bliesner, B., & Peltier, W. R. (2007). The modern and glacial overturning circulation in the Atlantic ocean in PMIP coupled models. Climate of the Past, 3, 51-64. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-3-51-2007 (Original work published 2007)


Taylor, K. E., Crucifix, M., Braconnot, P., Hewitt, C. D., Doutriaux, C., Broccoli, A. J., Mitchell, J. F. B., & Webb, M. J. (2007). Estimating shortwave radiative forcing and response in climate models. Journal of Climate, 20(11), 2530-2543. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI4143.1 (Original work published 2007)


Braconnot, P., Otto-Bliesner, B., Harrison, S., Joussaume, S., Peterchmitt, J.-Y., Abe-Ouchi, A., Crucifix, M., Driesschaert, E., Fichefet, T., Hewitt, C. D., Kageyama, M., Kitoh, A., Loutre, M.-F., Marti, O., Merkel, U., Ramstein, G., Valdes, P., Weber, L., Yu, Y., & Zhao, Y. (2007). Results of PMIP2 coupled simulations of the Mid-Holocene and Last Glacial Maximum - Part 2: feedbacks with emphasis on the location of the ITCZ and mid- and high latitudes heat budget. Climate of the Past, 3(2), 279-296. (Original work published 2007)


Braconnot, P., Otto-Bliesner, B., Harrison, S., Joussaume, S., Peterchmitt, J.-Y., Abe-Ouchi, A., Crucifix, M., Driesschaert, E., Fichefet, T., Hewitt, C. D., Kageyama, M., Kitoh, A., Laine, A., Loutre, M.-F., Marti, O., Merkel, U., Ramstein, G., Valdes, P., Weber, S., et al. (2007). Results of PMIP2 coupled simulations of the Mid-Holocene and Last Glacial Maximum - Part 1: experiments and large-scale features. Climate of the Past, 3(2), 261-277. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-3-261-2007 (Original work published 2007)


Otto-Bliesner, B. L., Hewitt, C. D., Marchitto, T. M., Brady, E., Abe-Ouchi, A., Crucifix, M., Murakami, S., & Weber, S. L. (2007). Last glacial maximum ocean thermohaline circulation: Pmip2 model intercomparisons and data constraints. Geophysical Research Letters, 34(12), L12706. https://doi.org/10.1029/2007GL029475 (Original work published 2007)


2006
Article de journal

Johns, T. C., Durman, C. F., Banks, H. T., Roberts, M. J., McLaren, A. J., Ridley, J. K., Senior, C. A., Williams, K. D., Jones, A., Rickard, G. J., Cusack, S., Ingram, W. J., Crucifix, M., Sexton, D. M. H., Joshi, M. M., Dong, B.-W., Spencer, H., Hill, R. S. R., Gregory, J. M., et al. (2006). The New Hadley Centre Climate Model (HadGEM1): Evaluation of Coupled Simulations. Journal of Climate, 19(7), 1327-1353. https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli3712.1 (Original work published 2006)


Crucifix, M., & Berger, A. (2006). How long will our interglacial be? Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union, 87(35), 352-353. https://doi.org/10.1029/2006EO350007 (Original work published 2006)


Crucifix, M. (2006). Does the LGM constrain climate sensitivity. Geophysical Research Letters, 33(18), L18701. https://doi.org/10.1029/2006GL027137 (Original work published 2006)


Kageyama, M., Laîné, A., Abe-Ouchi, A., Braconnot, P., CORTIJO, E., Crucifix, M., de Vernal, A., Guiot, J., & et al. (2006). Last Glacial Maximum temperatures over the North Atlantic, Europe and western Siberia: a comparison between PMIP models, MARGO sea-surface temperatures and pollen-based reconstructions. Quaternary Science Reviews, 25(17-18), 2082-2102. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2006.02.010 (Original work published 2006)


Masson-Delmotte, V., Crucifix, M., Weber, S., Wolk, F., & et al. (2006). Past and future polar amplification of climate change: climate model intercomparisons and ice-core constraints. Climate Dynamics, 26(5), 513-529. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-005-0081-9 (Original work published 2006)


Masson-Delmotte, V., Crucifix, M., Weber, S., Wolk, F., & et al. (2006). Past and future polar amplification of climate change: climate model intercomparisons and ice-core constraints (vol 26, pg 513, 2006). Climate Dynamics, 27(4), 437-440. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-006-0149-1 (Original work published 2006)


Banks, W. E., D’Errico, F., Dibble, H. L., & Crucifix, M. (2006). Eco-cultural niche modeling : New tools for reconstructing the geography and ecology of past human populations. PaleoAnthropology, 68-83. (Original work published 2006)


Crucifix, M., Loutre, M.-F., & Berger, A. (2006). The climate response to the astronomical forcing. Space Science Reviews, 125(1-4), 213-226. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11214-006-9058-1 (Original work published 2006)


2005
Article de journal

Crucifix, M., Betts, R. A., & Cox, P. M. (2005). Vegetation and climate variability: a GCM modelling study. Climate Dynamics, 24(5), 457-467. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-004-0504-z (Original work published 2005)


Rahmstorf, S., Crucifix, M., Ganopolski, A., Goosse, H., Kamenkovich, I., Knutti, R., Lohmann, G., Marsh, R., Mysak, L., Wang, Z., & Weaver, A. (2005). Thermohaline circulation hysteresis: A model intercomparison. Geophysical Research Letters, 32(23). https://doi.org/10.1029/2005GL023655 (Original work published 2005)


Petoukhov, V., Claussen, M., Berger, A., Crucifix, M., Eby, M., Eliseev, A., Fichefet, T., Ganopolski, A., Goosse, H., Kamenkovich, I., Mokhov, I., Montoya, M., Mysak, L., Sokolov, A., Stone, P., Wang, Z., & Weaver, A. (2005). EMIC Intercomparison Project (EMIP-CO2): comparative analysis of EMIC simulations of climate, and of equilibrium and transient responses to atmospheric CO2 doubling. Climate Dynamics, 25(4), 363-385. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-005-0042-3 (Original work published 2005)


Crucifix, M., & Hewitt, C. D. (2005). Impact of vegetation changes on the dynamics of the atmosphere at the Last Glacial Maximum. Climate Dynamics, 25(5), 447-459. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-005-0013-8 (Original work published 2005)


Goni, M., Loutre, M.-F., Crucifix, M., Peyron, O., Santos, L., Duprat, J., Malaize, B., Turon, J., & Peypouquet, J. (2005). Increasing vegetation and climate gradient in Western Europe over the Last Glacial Inception (122-110 ka): data-model comparison. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 231(1-2), 111-130. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2004.12.010 (Original work published 2005)


Crucifix, M., Betts, R., & Hewitt, C. D. (2005). Pre-industrial-potential and Last Glacial Maximum global vegetation simulated with a coupled climate-biosphere model: diagnosis of bioclimatic relationships. Global and Planetary Change, 45(4), 295-312. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2004.10.001 (Original work published 2005)


Crucifix, M., Loutre, M.-F., & Berger, A. (2005). Commentary on “The anthropogenic greenhouse era began thousands of years ago”. Climatic Change : an interdisciplinary, international journal devoted to the description, causes and implications of climatic change, 69(2-3), 419-426. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-005-7278-0 (Original work published 2005)


2004
Article de journal

Krinner, G., Mangerud, J., Jakobsson, M., Crucifix, M., Ritz, C., & Svendsen, J. (2004). Enhanced ice sheet growth in Eurasia owing to adjacent ice-dammed lakes. Nature : international weekly journal of science, 427(6973), 429-432. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature02233 (Original work published 2004)


2003
Article de journal

Berger, A., Loutre, M.-F., & Crucifix, M. (2003). The Earth’s climate in the next hundred thousand years (100 kyr). Surveys in Geophysics : an international review journal covering the entire field of geosciences and related areas, 24(2), 117-138. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1023233702670 (Original work published 2003)


Brovkin, V., Levis, S., Loutre, M.-F., Crucifix, M., Claussen, M., Ganopolski, A., Kubatzki, C., & Petoukhov, V. (2003). Stability analysis of the climate-vegetation system in the northern high latitudes. Climatic Change : an interdisciplinary, international journal devoted to the description, causes and implications of climatic change, 57(1-2), 119-138. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1022168609525 (Original work published 2003)


2002
Article de journal

Crucifix, M., & Loutre, M.-F. (2002). Transient simulations over the last interglacial period (126-115 kyr BP): feedback and forcing analysis. Climate Dynamics, 19(5-6), 417-433. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-002-0234-z (Original work published 2002)


Crucifix, M., Loutre, M.-F., Tulkens, P. M., Fichefet, T., & Berger, A. (2002). Climate evolution during the Holocene: a study with an Earth system model of intermediate complexity. Climate Dynamics, 19(1), 43-60. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-001-0208-6 (Original work published 2002)


Crucifix, M., & Berger, A. (2002). Simulation of ocean-ice sheet interactions during the last deglaciation. Paleoceanography, 17(4). https://doi.org/10.1029/2001PA000702 (Original work published 2002)


Bertrand, C., Loutre, M.-F., Crucifix, M., & Berger, A. (2002). Climate of the last millennium: a sensitivity study. Tellus. Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 54(3), 221-244. https://doi.org/10.1034/j.1600-0870.2002.00287.x (Original work published 2002)


Claussen, M., Mysak, L., Weaver, A., Crucifix, M., Fichefet, T., Loutre, M.-F., Weber, S., Alcamo, J., Alexeev, V., Berger, A., Calov, R., Ganopolski, A., Goosse, H., Lohmann, G., Lunkeit, F., Mokhov, I., Petoukhov, V., Stone, P., & Wang, Z. (2002). Earth system models of intermediate complexity: closing the gap in the spectrum of climate system models. Climate Dynamics, 18(7), 579-586. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-001-0200-1 (Original work published 2002)


de Viron, O., Dehant, V., Goosse, H., & Crucifix, M. (2002). Effect of global warming on the length-of-day. Geophysical Research Letters, 29(7). https://doi.org/10.1029/2001GL013672 (Original work published 2002)


Thèse

Crucifix, M. (2002). Palaeoclimate modelling over the last glacial-interglacial cycle.


2001
Article de journal

Crucifix, M., Loutre, M.-F., Lambeck, K., & Berger, A. (2001). Effect of isostatic rebound on modelled ice volume variations during the last 200 kyr. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 184(3-4), 623-633. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0012-821X(00)00361-7 (Original work published 2001)


Unités d'enseignement pour 2025

Libellé Code
Le climat et ses changements LGEO1232
Projections cartographiques et géodésie LGEO1242
Séminaire d'encadrement du mémoire LGEO2997
Physique 1 LPHY1101
Physique des fluides LPHYS1213
Projet personnel en physique LPHYS1351
Nonlinear dynamics LPHYS2114
Oscillations et instabilités dans le système climatique LPHYS2264
Année Libellé Établissement
2002 Docteur en sciences Université catholique de Louvain (Belgique)
1999 Diplômé d'études approfondies en physique Université catholique de Louvain (Belgique)
1998 Diplôme de licence en physique Facultés Universitaires Notre Dame de la Paix à Namur (Belgique)