ELIC
Place Louis Pasteur 3/L4.03.08
1348 Louvain-la-Neuve
Michel Crucifix
Professeur ordinaire
Michel Crucifix a research director with the National Fund of Scientific Research, and part-time professor at the Université catholique de Louvain where he leads the school of physics.
Michel holds a master in Physics (1998), a PhD in Sciences (2002) and was previously employed as palaeoclimate research scientist by the UK Met Office Hadley Center (2002-2006). He is editor of Earth System Dynamics, associate editor of Reviews of Geophysics, and member of the Belgian Royal Academy of Science and Fine Arts since 2015.
- Diploma
Year Label Educational Organization 1998 Diplôme de licence en physique Facultés Universitaires Notre Dame de la Paix à Namur 1999 Diplômé d'études approfondies en physique Université catholique de Louvain 2002 Docteur en sciences Université catholique de Louvain
Michel Crucifix has been working on climate dynamics and palaeoclimates since 1998, and specialised in modelling the dynamics of the climate system, with a focus on the phenomenon of ice ages, variability and tipping points. He currently leads the workpackage on optimal decision making in a EU H2020 project on tipping points.
Team MembersMarina Martinez : post-doctoral research assistant, physicist (EU-2020 TIPES)
Sergio Rubin : post-doctoral research assistant, biologist (Gaia theory)
Lilian Vanderveken : PhD Student and teaching assistant, vegetation-climate interactions
Alexandre Noel, Master student, Dynamical systems and Phanerozoic Climates
Victor Couplet, Master student, Dynamical systems and the last Glacial Climates
Corentin Visée, Master student in geography, climate reconstructions over the last millennium
2024
Gérard, Justin ; Crucifix, Michel. Diagnosing the causes of AMOC slowdown in a coupled model: a cautionary tale. In: Earth System Dynamics, Vol. 15, no.2, p. 293-306 (2024). doi:10.5194/esd-15-293-2024 (Soumis).
2024
Ben‐Yami, M. ; Good, P. ; Jackson, L. C. ; Crucifix, Michel ; Hu, A. ; Saenko, O. ; Swingedouw, D. ; Boers, N.. Impacts of AMOC Collapse on Monsoon Rainfall: A Multi‐Model Comparison. In: Earth's Future, Vol. 12, no.9, p. e2023EF003959 (2024). doi:10.1029/2023ef003959 (Soumis).
2024
Martínez Montero, Marina ; Brede, Nuria ; Couplet, Victor ; Crucifix, Michel ; Botta, Nicola ; Wieners, Claudia. Lost options commitment: how short-term policies affect long-term scope of action. In: Oxford Open Climate Change, Vol. 4, no.1, p. kgae004 (2024). doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oxfclm/kgae004. doi:10.1093/oxfclm/kgae004.
2023
Wood, Richard A. ; Crucifix, Michel ; Lenton, Timothy M. ; Mach, Katharine J. ; Moore, Crystal ; New, Mark ; Sharpe, Simon ; Stocker, Thomas F. ; Sutton, Rowan T.. A Climate Science Toolkit for High Impact‐Low Likelihood Climate Risks. In: Earth's Future, Vol. 11, no.4 (2023). doi:10.1029/2022ef003369 (Accepté/Sous presse).
2023
Verbitsky, Mikhail Y. ; Crucifix, Michel. Do phenomenological dynamical paleoclimate models have physical similarity with Nature? Seemingly, not all of them do. In: Climate of the Past, Vol. 19, no.9, p. 1793-1803 (2023). doi:10.5194/cp-19-1793-2023.
2023
Vanderveken, Lilian ; Martínez Montero, Marina ; Crucifix, Michel. Existence and influence of mixed states in a model of vegetation patterns. In: Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, Vol. 30, no.4, p. 585-599 (2023). doi:10.5194/npg-30-585-2023.
2023
Van Breedam, Jonas ; Huybrechts, Philippe ; Crucifix, Michel. Hysteresis and orbital pacing of the early Cenozoic Antarctic ice sheet. In: Climate of the Past, Vol. 19, no.12, p. 2551-2568 (2023). doi:10.5194/cp-19-2551-2023.
2023
Braem, Simon ; Crucifix, Michel ; Nieberding, Caroline M. ; Van Dyck, Hans. Microclimatic buffering in forest, agricultural, and urban landscapes through the lens of a grass‐feeding insect. In: Ecosphere, Vol. 14, no.7, p. e4611 (2023). doi:10.1002/ecs2.4611.
2023
Hamilton, Oisín ; Demaeyer, Jonathan ; Vannitsem, Stéphane ; Crucifix, Michel. Multistability in a coupled ocean–atmosphere reduced‐order model: Nonlinear temperature equations. In: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, (2023). doi:10.1002/qj.4564.
2023
Botta, Nicola ; Brede, Nuria ; Crucifix, Michel ; Ionescu, Cezar ; Jansson, Patrik ; Li, Zheng ; Martínez Montero, Marina ; Richter, Tim. Responsibility Under Uncertainty: Which Climate Decisions Matter Most?. In: Environmental Modeling & Assessment, Vol. 28, no.3, p. 337-365 (2023). doi:10.1007/s10666-022-09867-w.
2022
Wouters, Sebastien ; Crucifix, Michel ; Sinnesael, Matthias ; Da Silva, Anne-Christine ; Zeeden, Christian ; Zivanovic, M. ; Boulvain, Frédéric ; Devleeschouwer, Xavier. A Decomposition Approach to Cyclostratigraphic Signal Processing. In: Earth-Science Reviews, Vol. 225, p. 103894 (2022). doi:10.1016/j.earscirev.2021.103894.
2022
Sun, Youbin ; Wang, Ting ; Yin, Qiuzhen ; Lyu, Anqi ; Crucifix, Michel ; Cai, Yuanjun ; Ai, Li ; Clemens, Steven ; An, Zhisheng. East Asian climate changes during the Quaternary as viewed from multiple proxies and modeling results. In: Quaternary Science Reviews, Vol. 288, p. 107593 (2022). doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2022.107593.
2022
Van Breedam, Jonas ; Huybrechts, Philippe ; Crucifix, Michel. Modelling evidence for late Eocene Antarctic glaciations. In: Earth and Planetary Science Letters, Vol. 586, p. 117532 (2022). doi:10.1016/j.epsl.2022.117532.
2022
Martínez Montero, Marina ; Crucifix, Michel ; Couplet, Victor ; Brede, Nuria ; Botta, Nicola. SURFER v2.0: a flexible and simple model linking anthropogenic CO2 emissions and solar radiation modification to ocean acidification and sea level rise. In: Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 15, no.21, p. 8059-8084 (2022). doi:10.5194/gmd-15-8059-2022.
2022
Cornejo Rubin De Celis, Sergio Steven ; Crucifix, Michel. Taking the Gaia hypothesis at face value. In: Ecological Complexity, Vol. 49, p. 100981 (2022). doi:10.1016/j.ecocom.2022.100981.
2021
Van Breedam, Jonas ; Huybrechts, Philippe ; Crucifix, Michel. A Gaussian process emulator for simulating ice sheet–climate interactions on a multi-million-year timescale: CLISEMv1.0. In: Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 14, no.10, p. 6373-6401 (2021). doi:10.5194/gmd-14-6373-2021.
2021
Lyu, Anqi ; Yin, Qiuzhen ; Crucifix, Michel ; Sun, Y. B.. Diverse Regional Sensitivity of Summer Precipitation in East Asia to Ice Volume, CO2 and Astronomical Forcing. In: Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 48, no.7 (2021). doi:10.1029/2020gl092005.
2021
Verbitsky, Mikhail ; Crucifix, Michel. ESD Ideas: The Peclet number is a cornerstone of the orbital and millennial Pleistocene variability. In: Earth System Dynamics, Vol. 12, p. 63-67 (2021). doi:10.5194/esd-12-63-2021.
2021
Cornejo Rubin De Celis, Sergio ; Crucifix, Michel. Earth’s Complexity Is Non-Computable: The Limits of Scaling Laws, Nonlinearity and Chaos. In: Entropy, Vol. 23, no. 7, p. 915 (2021). doi:10.3390/e23070915.
2021
Brovkin, Victor ; Brook, Edward ; Williams, John W. ; Bathiany, Sebastian ; Lenton, Timothy M. ; Barton, Michael ; DeConto, Robert M. ; Donges, Jonathan F. ; Ganopolski, Andrey ; Crucifix, Michel ; Vanderveken, Lilian. Past abrupt changes, tipping points and cascading impacts in the Earth system. In: Nature Geoscience, Vol. 14, no.8, p. 550-558 (2021). doi:10.1038/s41561-021-00790-5.
2021
von der Heydt, Anna S. ; Ashwin, Peter ; Camp, Charles D. ; Crucifix, Michel ; Dijkstra, Henk A. ; Ditlevsen, Peter ; Lenton, Timothy M.. Quantification and interpretation of the climate variability record. In: Global and Planetary Change, Vol. 197, p. 103399 (2021). doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2020.103399.
2021
Lenton, Timothy M. ; Kohler, Timothy A. ; Marquet, Pablo A. ; Boyle, Richard A. ; Crucifix, Michel ; Wilkinson, David M. ; Scheffer, Marten. Survival of the Systems. In: Trends in Ecology & Evolution, (2021). doi:10.1016/j.tree.2020.12.003.
2021
Jebeile, Julie ; Crucifix, Michel. Value management and model pluralism in climate science. In: Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A, Vol. 88, p. 120-127 (2021). doi:10.1016/j.shpsa.2021.06.004.
2020
Jebeile, Julie ; Crucifix, Michel. Multi-model ensembles in climate science: Mathematical structures and expert judgements. In: Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A, Vol. 83, p. 44-52 (2020). doi:10.1016/j.shpsa.2020.03.001.
2020
Alexandrov, Dmitri V. ; Bashkirtseva, Irina A. ; Crucifix, Michel ; Ryashko, Lev B.. Nonlinear climate dynamics: From deterministic behaviour to stochastic excitability and chaos. In: Physics Reports, Vol. 902, p. 1-60 (2021). doi:10.1016/j.physrep.2020.11.002.
2020
Verbitsky, Mikhail Y. ; Crucifix, Michel. Pi-theorem generalization of the ice-age theory. In: Earth System Dynamics, Vol. 11, no.1, p. 281-289 (2020). doi:10.5281/zenodo.3473957.
2020
Holveck, Marie-Jeanne ; Muller, Doriane ; Visser, Bertanne ; Pels, Christophe ; Timmermans, Arthur ; Colonval,Lidwine ; Jan, Fabrice ; Crucifix, Michel ; Nieberding, Caroline M.. Sexual selection drives maladaptive learning under climate warming. In: bioRxiv, p. 45 (2020). doi:10.1101/2020.11.05.36956.
2019
Ditlevsen, Peter ; Mitsui, Takahito ; Crucifix, Michel. Crossover and peaks in the Pleistocene climate spectrum; understanding from simple ice age models. In: Climate Dynamics, Vol. 54, no. 3-4, p. 1801-1818 (2020). doi:10.1007/s00382-019-05087-3.
2019
Sun Y.B. ; Yin, Qiuzhen ; Crucifix, Michel ; Clemens S. ; Araya-Melo P. ; Liu W. ; Qiuang X. ; Zhao H. ; Liang L. ; Chen H. ; Li Y. ; Zhang L. ; Dong G. ; Zhon W. ; Berger, André ; Zhisheng A.. Diverse manifestations of the Mid-Pleistocene climate transition. In: Nature Communications, Vol. 10 (2019).
2019
Verbitsky, Mikhail Y. ; Crucifix, Michel ; Volobuev, Dmitry M.. ESD Ideas: Propagation of high-frequency forcing to ice age dynamics. In: Earth System Dynamics, Vol. 10, no.2, p. 257-260 (2019). doi:10.5194/esd-10-257-2019.
2019
Carson, J. ; Crucifix, Michel ; Preston, S. P. ; Wilkinson, R. D.. Quantifying age and model uncertainties in palaeoclimate data and dynamical climate models with a joint inferential analysis. In: Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, Vol. 475, no.2224, p. 20180854 (2019). doi:10.1098/rspa.2018.0854. doi:10.5281/zenodo.1973118.
2018
Lenoir, Guillaume ; Crucifix, Michel. A general theory on frequency and time–frequency analysis of irregularly sampled time series based on projection methods – Part 1: Frequency analysis. In: Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, Vol. 25, no.1, p. 145-173 (2018). doi:10.5194/npg-25-145-2018.
2018
Lenoir, Guillaume ; Crucifix, Michel. A general theory on frequency and time–frequency analysis of irregularly sampled time series based on projection methods – Part 2: Extension to time–frequency analysis. In: Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, Vol. 25, no.1, p. 175-200 (2018). doi:10.5194/npg-25-175-2018.
2018
Verbitsky, Mikhail Y. ; Crucifix, Michel ; Volobuev, Dmitry M.. A theory of Pleistocene glacial rhythmicity. In: Earth System Dynamics, Vol. 9, no.3, p. 1025-1043 (2018). doi:10.5194/esd-9-1025-2018.
2018
Carson, Jake ; Crucifix, Michel ; Preston, Simon ; Wilkinson, Richard D.. Bayesian model selection for the glacial-interglacial cycle. In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics), Vol. 67, p. 25-54 (2017). doi:10.1111/rssc.12222.
2018
Mitsui, Takahito ; Lenoir, Guillaume ; Crucifix, Michel. Is the glacial climate scale invariant?. In: Dynamics and Statistics of the Climate System, (2019). doi:10.1093/climsys/dzy011.
2018
Erb, Michael P. ; Jackson, Charles S. ; Broccoli, Anthony J. ; Lea, David W. ; Valdes, Paul J. ; Crucifix, Michel ; DiNezio, Pedro N.. Model evidence for a seasonal bias in Antarctic ice cores. In: Nature Communications, Vol. 9, no.1, p. 1361 (2018). doi:10.1038/s41467-018-03800-0.
2018
Kageyama, Masa ; Braconnot, Pascale ; Harrison, Sandy P. ; Haywood, Alan M. ; Jungclaus, Johann H. ; Otto-Bliesner, Bette L. ; Peterschmitt, Jean-Yves ; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako ; Albani, Samuel ; Bartlein, Patrick J. ; Brierley, Chris ; Crucifix, Michel ; Dolan, Aisling ; Fernandez-Donado, Laura ; Fischer, Hubertus ; Hopcroft, Peter O. ; Ivanovic, Ruza F. ; Lambert, Fabrice ; Lunt, Daniel J. ; Mahowald, Natalie M. ; Peltier, W. Richard ; Phipps, Steven J. ; Roche, Didier M. ; Schmidt, Gavin A. ; Tarasov, Lev ; Valdes, Paul J. ; Zhang, Qiong ; Zhou, Tianjun. The PMIP4 contribution to CMIP6 – Part 1: Overview and over-arching analysis plan. In: Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 11, no.3, p. 1033-1057 (2018). doi:10.5194/gmd-11-1033-2018.
2018
Steffen, Will ; Rockström, Johan ; Richardson, Katherine ; Lenton, Timothy M. ; Folke, Carl ; Liverman, Diana ; Summerhayes, Colin P. ; Barnosky, Anthony D. ; Cornell, Sarah E. ; Crucifix, Michel ; Donges, Jonathan F. ; Fetzer, Ingo ; Lade, Steven J. ; Scheffer, Marten ; Winkelmann, Ricarda ; Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim. Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene. In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 115, no.33, p. 8252-8259 (2018). doi:10.1073/pnas.1810141115.
2017
Tzedakis, P. C. ; Crucifix, Michel ; Mitsui, T. ; Wolff, E. W.. A simple rule to determine which insolation cycles lead to interglacials. In: Nature : international weekly journal of science, Vol. 542, no.7642, p. 427-432 (2017). doi:10.1038/nature21364.
2017
De Vleeschouwer, David ; Vahlenkamp, Maximilian ; Crucifix, Michel ; Pälike, Heiko. Alternating Southern and Northern Hemisphere climate response to astronomical forcing during the past 35 m.y.. In: Geology (Boulder), Vol. 45, no.4, p. 375-378 (2017). doi:10.1130/G38663.1.
2017
Crucifix, Michel ; de Vernal, Anne ; Franzke, Christian. Centennial climate change: The unknown variability zone. In: Past Global Changes Magazine, Vol. 25, p. 133-133 (2017). doi:10.22498/pages.25.3.133.
2017
Lord, Natalie S. ; Crucifix, Michel ; Lunt, Dan J. ; Thorne, Mike C. ; Bounceur, Nabila ; Dowsett, Harry ; O'Brien, Charlotte L. ; Ridgwell, Andy. Emulation of long-term changes in global climate: application to the late Pliocene and future. In: Climate of the Past, Vol. 13, p. 1539-1571 (2017). doi:10.5194/cp-13-1539-2017.
2017
Mitsui, Takahito ; Crucifix, Michel. Influence of external forcings on abrupt millennial-scale climate changes: a statistical modelling study. In: Climate Dynamics, (2016). doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3235-z.
2017
Ditlevsen, Peter ; Crucifix, Michel. On the importance of centennial variability for ice ages. In: Past Global Changes Magazine, Vol. 25, p. 152-153 (2017). doi:10.22498/pages.25.3.152.
2017
Valdes, Paul J. ; Armstrong, Edward ; Badger, Marcus P. S. ; Bradshaw, Catherine D. ; Bragg, Fran ; Crucifix, Michel ; Davies-Barnard, Taraka ; Day, Jonathan J. ; Farnsworth, Alex ; Gordon, Chris ; Hopcroft, Peter O. ; Kennedy, Alan T. ; Lord, Natalie S. ; Lunt, Dan J. ; Marzocchi, Alice ; Parry, Louise M. ; Pope, Vicky ; Roberts, William H. G. ; Stone, Emma J. ; Tourte, Gregory J. L. ; Williams, Jonny H. T.. The BRIDGE HadCM3 family of climate models: HadCM3@Bristol v1.0. In: Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 10, p. 3715-3743 (2017). doi:10.5194/gmd-10-3715-2017.
2017
Moldwin, Mark B. ; Florindo, Fabio ; Okin, Gregory ; Robock, Alan ; Rohling, Eelco J. ; Cardenas, Bayani ; Carlton, Annmarie ; Chen, Kate Huihsuan ; Crucifix, Michel ; Gettelman, Andrew ; Hubbard, Alun ; Katsura, Tomoo ; Painter, Thomas H.. Why and How to Write a High-Impact Review Paper: Lessons From Eight Years of Editorial Board Service to Reviews of Geophysics. In: Reviews of Geophysics, (2017). doi:10.1002/2017rg000587.
2016
Bathiany, Sebastian ; Dijkstra, Henk ; Crucifix, Michel ; Dakos, Vasilis ; Brovkin, Victor ; Williamson, Mark S. ; Lenton, Timothy M. ; Scheffer, Marten. Beyond bifurcation: using complex models to understand and predict abrupt climate change. In: Dynamics and Statistics of the Climate System, Vol. 1, no. 1, p. dzw004 (2016). doi:10.1093/climsys/dzw004.
2016
Lovejoy, S. ; Crucifix, Michel ; De Vernal, A.. Characterizing Climate Fluctuations over Wide-Scale Ranges. In: Eos, Vol. 97 (2016). doi:10.1029/2016eo055791.
2016
Crucifix, Michel. Climate science: Earth's narrow escape from a big freeze. In: Nature : international weekly journal of science, Vol. 529, no.7585, p. 162-163 (2016). doi:10.1038/529162a.
2016
Berger, André ; Crucifix, Michel ; Hodell, D.A. ; Mangili, C. ; McManus, J.F. ; Otto-Bliesner, B. ; Pol, K. ; Raynaud, D. ; Skinner, L.C. ; Tzedakis, P.C. ; Wolff, E.W. ; Yin, Qiuzhen. Interglacials of the last 800,000 years. In: Reviews of Geophysics, Vol. 54, no.1, p. 162-219 (2016). doi:10.1002/2015RG000482.
2016
von der Heydt, A. S. ; Dijkstra, H. A. ; van de Wal, R. S. ; Caballero, R. ; Crucifix, Michel ; Foster, G. L. ; Huber, M. ; Köhler, P. ; Rohling, E. ; Valdes, P.. Lessons on Climate Sensitivity From Past Climate Changes. In: Current Climate Change Reports, (2016). doi:10.1007/s40641-016-0049-3.
2015
Mitsui, Takahito ; Crucifix, Michel ; Aihara, K.. Bifurcations and strange non chaotic attractors in a phase oscillator model of glacial-interglacial cycles. In: Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena.
2015
Mitsui, Takahito ; Crucifix, Michel ; Aihara, Kazuyuki. Bifurcations and strange nonchaotic attractors in a phase oscillator model of glacial–interglacial cycles. In: Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, Vol. 306, p. 25-33 (2015). doi:10.1016/j.physd.2015.05.007.
2015
Araya Melo, Pablo Andrés ; Crucifix, Michel ; Bounceur, Nabila. Global sensitivity analysis of the Indian monsoon during the Pleistocene. In: Climate of the Past, Vol. 11, no.11, p. 45-61 (12/01/2015). doi:10.5194/cp-11-45-2015.
2015
Bounceur, Nabila ; Crucifix, Michel ; Wilkinson, R. D.. Global sensitivity analysis of the climate–vegetation system to astronomical forcing:an emulator-based approach. In: Earth System Dynamics, Vol. 6, no.1, p. 205-224 (2015). doi:10.5194/esd-6-205-2015.
2015
Regoli, Fabienne ; de Garidel-Thoron, Thibault ; Tachikawa, Kazuyo ; Jian, Zhiming ; Ye, Liming ; Droxler, André W. ; Lenoir, Guillaume ; Crucifix, Michel ; Barbarin, Nicolas ; Beaufort, Luc. Progressive shoaling of the equatorial Pacific thermocline over the last eight glacial periods. In: Paleoceanography, Vol. 30, no.5, p. 439-455 (2015). doi:10.1002/2014PA002696.
2014
Araya-Melo, P. A. ; Crucifix, Michel ; Bounceur, N.. Global sensitivity analysis of Indian Monsoon during the Pleistocene. In: Climate of the Past Discussions, Vol. 10, no. 2, p. 1609-1651 (2014). doi:10.5194/cpd-10-1609-2014.
2014
Bounceur, Nabila ; Crucifix, Michel ; Wilkinson , R.D.. Global sensitivity analysis of the climate–vegetation system to astronomical forcing: an emulator-based approach. In: Earth System Dynamics Discussions, Vol. 5, no. 5, p. 901-943 (2014). doi:10.5194/esdd-5-901-2014.
2014
Maris, M. N. A. ; Ligtenberg, S. R. M. ; Crucifix, Michel ; de Boer, B. ; Oerlemans, J.. Modelling the evolution of the Antarctic Ice Sheet since the last interglacial. In: The Cryosphere Discussions, Vol. 8, no. 1, p. 85-120 (2014). doi:10.5194/tcd-8-85-2014.
2014
Maris, M. N. A. ; de Boer, B. ; Ligtenberg, S. R. M. ; Crucifix, Michel ; van de Berg, W. J. ; Oerlemans, J.. Modelling the evolution of the Antarctic ice sheet since the last interglacial. In: The Cryosphere, Vol. 8, no. 4, p. 1347-1360 (2014). doi:10.5194/tc-8-1347-2014.
2014
Yin, Qiuzhen ; Singh, Umesh ; Berger, André ; Guo, Zhengtang ; Crucifix, Michel. Relative impact of insolation and the Indo-Pacific warm pool surface temperature on the East Asia summer monsoon during the MIS-13 interglacial. In: Climate of the Past, Vol. 10, no. 1, p. 1645-1657. doi:10.5194/cp-10-1645-2014.
2014
De Vleeschouwer, David ; Crucifix, Michel ; Bounceur, Nabila ; Claeys, Philippe. The impact of astronomical forcing on the Late Devonian greenhouse climate. In: Global and Planetary Change, Vol. 120, p. 65-80 (2014). doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2014.06.002.
2013
De Saedeleer, Bernard ; Crucifix, Michel ; Wieczorek, Sebastian. Is the astronomical forcing a reliable and unique pacemakerfor climate? A conceptual model study. In: Climate Dynamics : observational, theoretical and computational research on the climate system, Vol. 40, p. 273-294 (2013). doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1316-1.
2013
Crucifix, Michel. Why could ice ages be unpredictable?. In: Climate of the Past, Vol. 9, no.5, p. 2253-2267 (2013). doi:10.5194/cp-9-2253-2013.
2012
Rohling, E.J. ; Sluijs, A. ; Dijkstra, H.A. ; Köhler, P. ; Van De Wal, R.S.W. ; Von Der Heydt, A.S. ; Beerling, D.J. ; Berger, André ; Bijl, P.K. ; Crucifix, Michel. Making sense of palaeoclimate sensitivity. In: Nature : international weekly journal of science, Vol. 491, p. 683-691 (2012). doi:10.1038/nature11574.
2012
Crucifix, Michel. Oscillators and relaxation phenomena in Pleistocene climate theory. In: Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. A, Vol. 370, no. 1962, p. 1140-1165 (2012). doi:10.1098/rsta.2011.0315.
2012
De Vleeschouwer, D. ; Da Silva, A.C. ; Boulvain, F. ; Crucifix, Michel ; Claeys, P.. Precessional and half-precessional climate forcing of Mid-Devonian monsoon-like dynamics. In: Climate of the Past, Vol. 8, no. 1, p. 337-351 (2012). doi:10.5194/cp-8-337-2012.
2012
Crucifix, Michel ; Harrison, Sandy ; Brierley, Chris. Recent and deep pasts in paleoclimate model intercomparison project. In: Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union, Vol. 93, no.51, p. 539 (2012). doi:10.1029/2012EO510010.
2012
Crucifix, Michel. Traditional and novel approaches to palaeoclimate modelling. In: Quaternary Science Reviews, Vol. 57, no. 4, p. 1-16 (2012). doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2012.09.010.
2011
Crucifix, Michel. How can a glacial inception be predicted?. In: The Holocene : a major interdisciplinary journal focusing on recent environmental change, Vol. 21, no. 5, p. 831-842 (2011). doi:10.1177/0959683610394883.
2011
Ruddiman, W.F. ; Crucifix, Michel ; Oldfield, F.A.. Introduction to the early-Anthropocene Special Issue. In: The Holocene : a major interdisciplinary journal focusing on recent environmental change, Vol. 21, p. 713 (2011). doi:10.1177/0959683611398053.
2011
Crucifix, Michel. La climatologie aujourd'hui. In: Revue des Questions Scientifiques, Vol. 182, p. 3-32 (2011).
2011
Dubinkina, Svetlana ; Goosse, Hugues ; Sallaz-Damaz, Yoann ; Crespin, Elisabeth ; Crucifix, Michel. Testing a particle filter to reconstruct climate changes over the past centuries. In: International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos in Applied Sciences and Engineering, Vol. 21, no. 12, p. 3611-3618 (2011). doi:10.1142/S0218127411030763.
2010
Deleersnijder, Eric ; Bard, Edouard ; Crucifix, Michel ; Fichefet, Thierry ; Hanert, Emmanuel. Le réchauffement climatique est réel et l'Homme en est le principal responsable. In: Le Soir, p. 15 (6 janvier 2010).
2009
Otto-Bliesner, Bette L. ; Schneider, Ralph ; Brady, E. C. ; Kucera, M. ; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako ; Bard, E. ; Braconnot, P. ; Crucifix, Michel ; Hewitt, C. ; Kageyama, M. ; Marti, O. ; Paul, A. ; Rosell-Mele, A. ; Waelbroeck, C. ; Weber, Shlomo ; Weinelt, M. ; Yu, Y.. A comparison of PMIP2 model simulations and the MARGO proxy reconstruction for tropical sea surface temperatures at last glacial maximum. In: Climate Dynamics : observational, theoretical and computational research on the climate system, Vol. 32, no. 6, p. 799-815 (2009). doi:10.1007/s00382-008-0509-0.
2009
Crucifix, Michel. How to cope with climate's complexity. In: European Review, Vol. 17, no. 2, p. 371-402 (2009).
2009
Yin, Qiuzhen ; Berger, André ; Crucifix, Michel. Individual and combined effects of ice sheets and precession on MIS-13 climate. In: Climate of the Past, Vol. 5, no. 2, p. 229-243 (2009). doi:10.5194/cp-5-229-2009.
2009
Goidts, Esther ; van Wesemael, Bas ; Crucifix, Michel. Magnitude and sources of uncertainties in soil organic carbon (SOC) stock assessments at various scales. In: European Journal of Soil Science, Vol. 60, no. 5, p. 723-739 (2009). doi:10.1111/j.1365-2389.2009.01157.x.
2009
Crucifix, Michel ; Rougier, J.. On the use of simple dynamical systems for climate predictions. In: The European Physical Journal. Special Topics, Vol. 174, p. 11-31 (2009). doi:10.1140/epjst/e2009-01087-5.
2009
Crucifix, Michel ; Rougier, Jonathan. On the use of simple dynamical systems for climate predictions: A Bayesian prediction of the next glacial inception. In: European Physics Journal - Special Topics, , no. 174, p. 11-31 (2009).
2009
Crucifix, Michel ; Claussen, M. ; Ganssen, G. ; Guiot, J. ; Guo, Z. ; Kiefer, T. ; Loutre, Marie-France ; Rousseau, D. -D. ; Wolff, Elodie. Preface 'Climate change: from the geological past to the uncertain future - a symposium honouring André, Berger'. In: Climate of the Past, Vol. 5, no. 4, p. 707-711 (2009). doi:10.5194/cp-5-707-2009.
2009
Rojas, Maisa ; Moreno, Patricio I. ; Kageyama, Masa ; Crucifix, Michel ; Hewitt, Chris ; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako ; Ohgaito, Rumi ; Brady, Esther C. ; Hope, Pandora. The Southern Westerlies during the last glacial maximum in PMIP2 simulations. In: Climate Dynamics : observational, theoretical and computational research on the climate system, Vol. 32, no. 4, p. 525-548 (2009). doi:10.1007/s00382-008-0421-7.
2008
Crucifix, Michel. Global change: Climate's astronomical sensors. In: Nature : international weekly journal of science, Vol. 456, no. 7218, p. 47-48 (2008). doi:10.1038/456047a.
2008
Murakami, Shigenori ; Ohgaito, Rumi ; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako ; Crucifix, Michel ; Otto-Bliesner, Bette L.. Global-scale energy and freshwater balance in glacial climate: A comparison of three PMIP2 LGM simulations. In: Journal of Climate, Vol. 21, no. 19, p. 5008-5033 (2008). doi:10.1175/2008JCLI2104.1.
2008
Yin, Qiuzhen ; Berger, André ; Driesschaert, E. ; Goosse, Hugues ; Loutre, Marie-France ; Crucifix, Michel. The Eurasian ice sheet reinforces the East Asian summer monsoon during the interglacial 500 000 years ago. In: Climate of the Past, Vol. 4, no. 2, p. 79-90 (2008). doi:10.5194/cp-4-79-2008.
2007
Taylor, K.E. ; Crucifix, Michel ; Braconnot, P. ; Hewitt, C.D. ; Doutriaux, C. ; Broccoli, A.J. ; Mitchell, J.F.B. ; Webb, M.J.. Estimating shortwave radiative forcing and response in climate models. In: Journal of Climate, Vol. 20, no. 11, p. 2530-2543 (2007). doi:10.1175/JCLI4143.1.
2007
Loutre, Marie-France ; Berger, André ; Crucifix, Michel ; Desprat, S. ; Sanchez Goñi, Maria Fernanda. Interglacials as simulated by the LLN 2-D NH and MoBidiC climate models. In: Developments in Quaternary Science, Vol. 7, p. 547-561 (2007). doi:10.1016/S1571-0866(07)80061-3.
2007
Otto-Bliesner, B.L. ; Hewitt, C.D. ; Marchitto, T.M. ; Brady, E. ; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako ; Crucifix, Michel ; Murakami, S. ; Weber, S.L.. Last glacial maximum ocean thermohaline circulation: Pmip2 model intercomparisons and data constraints. In: Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 34, no. 12, p. L12706 (2007). doi:10.1029/2007GL029475.
2007
Braconnot, P. ; Otto-Bliesner, B. ; Harrison, S. ; Joussaume, S. ; Peterchmitt, J.-Y. ; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako ; Crucifix, Michel ; Driesschaert, Emmanuelle ; Fichefet, Thierry ; Hewitt, C. D. ; Kageyama, M. ; Kitoh, A. ; Laine, A. ; Loutre, Marie-France ; Marti, O. ; Merkel, U. ; Ramstein, G. ; Valdes, P. ; Weber, Shlomo ; Yu, Y. ; Zhao, Y.. Results of PMIP2 coupled simulations of the Mid-Holocene and Last Glacial Maximum - Part 1: experiments and large-scale features. In: Climate of the Past, Vol. 3, no. 2, p. 261-277 (2007). doi:10.5194/cp-3-261-2007.
2007
Braconnot, P. ; Otto-Bliesner, B. ; Harrison, S. ; Joussaume, S. ; Peterchmitt, J.-Y. ; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako ; Crucifix, Michel ; Driesschaert, Emmanuelle ; Fichefet, Thierry ; Hewitt, C. D. ; Kageyama, M. ; Kitoh, A. ; Loutre, Marie-France ; Marti, O. ; Merkel, U. ; Ramstein, G. ; Valdes, P. ; Weber, L. ; Yu, Y. ; Zhao, Y.. Results of PMIP2 coupled simulations of the Mid-Holocene and Last Glacial Maximum - Part 2: feedbacks with emphasis on the location of the ITCZ and mid- and high latitudes heat budget. In: Climate of the Past, Vol. 3, no. 2, p. 279-296 (2007).
2007
Weber, S.L. ; Drijfhout, S.S. ; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako ; Crucifix, Michel ; Eby, M. ; Ganopolski, A. ; Murakami, S. ; Otto-Bliesner, B. ; Peltier, W.R.. The modern and glacial overturning circulation in the Atlantic ocean in PMIP coupled models. In: Climate of the Past, Vol. 3, p. 51-64 (2007). doi:10.5194/cp-3-51-2007.
2007
Edwards, Tamsin L. ; Crucifix, Michel ; Harrison, Sandy P.. Using the past to constrain the future: how the palaeorecord can improve estimates of global warming. In: Progress in Physical Geography : an international review of geographical work in the natural and environmental sciences, Vol. 31, no. 5, p. 481-500 (2007). doi:10.1177/0309133307083295.
2006
Crucifix, Michel. Does the LGM constrain climate sensitivity. In: Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 33, no. 18, p. L18701 (2006). doi:10.1029/2006GL027137.
2006
Banks, William E. ; D'Errico, Francesco ; Dibble, Harrold L. ; Crucifix, Michel. Eco-cultural niche modeling : New tools for reconstructing the geography and ecology of past human populations. In: PaleoAnthropology, p. 68-83 (2006).
2006
Crucifix, Michel ; Berger, André. How long will our interglacial be?. In: Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union, Vol. 87, no. 35, p. 352-353 (2006). doi:10.1029/2006EO350007.
2006
Kageyama, M. ; Laîné, A. ; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako ; Braconnot, P. ; CORTIJO, Elsa ; Crucifix, Michel ; de Vernal, A. ; Guiot, Joel. Last Glacial Maximum temperatures over the North Atlantic, Europe and western Siberia: a comparison between PMIP models, MARGO sea-surface temperatures and pollen-based reconstructions. In: Quaternary Science Reviews, Vol. 25, no. 17-18, p. 2082-2102 (2006). doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2006.02.010.
2006
Masson-Delmotte, V. ; Crucifix, Michel ; Weber, Shlomo ; Wolk, Frank. Past and future polar amplification of climate change: climate model intercomparisons and ice-core constraints. In: Climate Dynamics : observational, theoretical and computational research on the climate system, Vol. 26, no. 5, p. 513-529 (2006). doi:10.1007/s00382-005-0081-9.
2006
Masson-Delmotte, V. ; Crucifix, Michel ; Weber, Shlomo ; Wolk, Frank. Past and future polar amplification of climate change: climate model intercomparisons and ice-core constraints (vol 26, pg 513, 2006). In: Climate Dynamics : observational, theoretical and computational research on the climate system, Vol. 27, no. 4, p. 437-440 (2006). doi:10.1007/s00382-006-0149-1.
2006
Johns, T. C. ; Durman, C. F. ; Banks, H. T. ; Roberts, M. J. ; McLaren, A. J. ; Ridley, J. K. ; Senior, C. A. ; Williams, K. D. ; Jones, A. ; Rickard, G. J. ; Cusack, S. ; Ingram, W. J. ; Crucifix, Michel ; Sexton, D. M. H. ; Joshi, M. M. ; Dong, B.-W. ; Spencer, H. ; Hill, R. S. R. ; Gregory, J. M. ; Keen, A. B. ; Pardaens, A. K. ; Lowe, J. A. ; Bodas-Salcedo, A. ; Stark, S. ; Searl, Y.. The New Hadley Centre Climate Model (HadGEM1): Evaluation of Coupled Simulations. In: Journal of Climate, Vol. 19, no. 7, p. 1327-1353 (2006). doi:10.1175/jcli3712.1.
2006
Crucifix, Michel ; Loutre, Marie-France ; Berger, André. The climate response to the astronomical forcing. In: Space Science Reviews, Vol. 125, no. 1-4, p. 213-226 (2006). doi:10.1007/s11214-006-9058-1.
2005
Crucifix, Michel ; Loutre, Marie-France ; Berger, André. Commentary on "The anthropogenic greenhouse era began thousands of years ago". In: Climatic Change : an interdisciplinary, international journal devoted to the description, causes and implications of climatic change, Vol. 69, no. 2-3, p. 419-426 (2005). doi:10.1007/s10584-005-7278-0.
2005
Petoukhov, V ; Claussen, M. ; Berger, André ; Crucifix, Michel ; Eby, M. ; Eliseev, AV ; Fichefet, Thierry ; Ganopolski, A ; Goosse, Hugues ; Kamenkovich, I ; Mokhov, II ; Montoya, M ; Mysak, LA ; Sokolov, A. ; Stone, P ; Wang, Z ; Weaver, AJ. EMIC Intercomparison Project (EMIP-CO2): comparative analysis of EMIC simulations of climate, and of equilibrium and transient responses to atmospheric CO2 doubling. In: Climate Dynamics, Vol. 25, no. 4, p. 363-385 (2005). doi:10.1007/s00382-005-0042-3.
2005
Crucifix, Michel ; Hewitt, Christopher D.. Impact of vegetation changes on the dynamics of the atmosphere at the Last Glacial Maximum. In: Climate Dynamics, Vol. 25, no.5, p. 447-459 (2005). doi:10.1007/s00382-005-0013-8.
2005
Goni, MFS ; Loutre, Marie-France ; Crucifix, Michel ; Peyron, O ; Santos, L ; Duprat, J. ; Malaize, B ; Turon, JL ; Peypouquet, JP. Increasing vegetation and climate gradient in Western Europe over the Last Glacial Inception (122-110 ka): data-model comparison. In: Earth and Planetary Science Letters, Vol. 231, no. 1-2, p. 111-130 (2005). doi:10.1016/j.epsl.2004.12.010.
2005
Crucifix, Michel ; Betts, Richard ; Hewitt, C. D.. Pre-industrial-potential and Last Glacial Maximum global vegetation simulated with a coupled climate-biosphere model: diagnosis of bioclimatic relationships. In: Global and Planetary Change, Vol. 45, no. 4, p. 295-312 (2005). doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2004.10.001.
2005
Rahmstorf, S ; Crucifix, Michel ; Ganopolski, A ; Goosse, Hugues ; Kamenkovich, I ; Knutti, R. ; Lohmann, G ; Marsh, R ; Mysak, LA ; Wang, ZM ; Weaver, AJ. Thermohaline circulation hysteresis: A model intercomparison. In: Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 32, no. 23 (2005). doi:10.1029/2005GL023655.
2005
Crucifix, Michel ; Betts, Richard A. ; Cox, Peter M.. Vegetation and climate variability: a GCM modelling study. In: Climate Dynamics, Vol. 24, no.5, p. 457-467 (2005). doi:10.1007/s00382-004-0504-z.
2004
Krinner, G. ; Mangerud, J ; Jakobsson, M ; Crucifix, Michel ; Ritz, C. ; Svendsen, JI. Enhanced ice sheet growth in Eurasia owing to adjacent ice-dammed lakes. In: Nature : international weekly journal of science, Vol. 427, no. 6973, p. 429-432 (2004). doi:10.1038/nature02233.
2003
Brovkin, Victor ; Levis, S ; Loutre, Marie-France ; Crucifix, Michel ; Claussen, M. ; Ganopolski, A ; Kubatzki, C ; Petoukhov, V. Stability analysis of the climate-vegetation system in the northern high latitudes. In: Climatic Change : an interdisciplinary, international journal devoted to the description, causes and implications of climatic change, Vol. 57, no. 1-2, p. 119-138 (2003). doi:10.1023/A:1022168609525.
2003
Berger, André ; Loutre, Marie-France ; Crucifix, Michel. The Earth's climate in the next hundred thousand years (100 kyr). In: Surveys in Geophysics : an international review journal covering the entire field of geosciences and related areas, Vol. 24, no. 2, p. 117-138 (2003). doi:10.1023/A:1023233702670.
2002
Crucifix, Michel ; Loutre, Marie-France ; Tulkens, Paul M. ; Fichefet, Thierry ; Berger, André. Climate evolution during the Holocene: a study with an Earth system model of intermediate complexity. In: Climate Dynamics : observational, theoretical and computational research on the climate system, Vol. 19, no. 1, p. 43-60 (2002). doi:10.1007/s00382-001-0208-6.
2002
Bertrand, C. ; Loutre, Marie-France ; Crucifix, Michel ; Berger, André. Climate of the last millennium: a sensitivity study. In: Tellus. Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, Vol. 54, no. 3, p. 221-244 (2002). doi:10.1034/j.1600-0870.2002.00287.x.
2002
Claussen, M. ; Mysak, LA ; Weaver, AJ ; Crucifix, Michel ; Fichefet, Thierry ; Loutre, Marie-France ; Weber, Shlomo ; Alcamo, J ; Alexeev, VA ; Berger, André ; Calov, R ; Ganopolski, A ; Goosse, Hugues ; Lohmann, G ; Lunkeit, F ; Mokhov, II ; Petoukhov, V ; Stone, P ; Wang, Z. Earth system models of intermediate complexity: closing the gap in the spectrum of climate system models. In: Climate Dynamics, Vol. 18, no. 7, p. 579-586 (2002). doi:10.1007/s00382-001-0200-1.
2002
de Viron, O ; Dehant, Véronique ; Goosse, Hugues ; Crucifix, Michel. Effect of global warming on the length-of-day. In: Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 29, no. 7 (2002). doi:10.1029/2001GL013672.
2002
Crucifix, Michel ; Berger, André. Simulation of ocean-ice sheet interactions during the last deglaciation. In: Paleoceanography, Vol. 17, no. 4 (2002). doi:10.1029/2001PA000702.
2002
Crucifix, Michel ; Loutre, Marie-France. Transient simulations over the last interglacial period (126-115 kyr BP): feedback and forcing analysis. In: Climate Dynamics : observational, theoretical and computational research on the climate system, Vol. 19, no. 5-6, p. 417-433 (2002). doi:10.1007/s00382-002-0234-z.
2001
Crucifix, Michel ; Loutre, Marie-France ; Lambeck, K ; Berger, André. Effect of isostatic rebound on modelled ice volume variations during the last 200 kyr. In: Earth and Planetary Science Letters, Vol. 184, no. 3-4, p. 623-633 (2001). doi:10.1016/S0012-821X(00)00361-7.
2020
Crucifix, Michel ; Annan, James. Is the concept of ‘tipping point’ helpful for describing and communicating possible climate futures?. In: Hulme, Mike, Contemporary Climate Change Debates (earthscan), Routledge Taylor and Francis Group: Abingdon, Oxon, UK, 2020, p. 251. 9781138333024.
2019
Crucifix, Michel. Epimetron. In: Chiotis, Eustachios, Climate Changes in the Holocene: Impacts and Human Adaptation, CRC Press Taylor and Francis Group: 6000 Broken Sound Parkway, NW, Suite 300 Boca Raton, FL 33487-2742, 2019, p. 397-399. 9780815365938. doi:10.1201/9781351260244.
2019
Crucifix, Michel. Pleistocene glaciations. In: Chiotis, Eustachios, Climate Changes in the Holocene: Impacts and Human Adaptation, CRC Press Taylor and Francis Group: USA, 2019, p. 77-116. 978-0-8153-6593-8.
2018
Rougier, J.C. ; Crucifix, Michel. Uncertainly in climate science and climate policy. In: Lloyd, L. (ed.) ; Winsberg , E (ed.), Climate Modeling, University of Chicago Press, L. Lloyd, E. Winsberg, 2018. 978-3-319-65057-9. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-65058-6_12.
2016
Crucifix, Michel ; Mitsui, Takahito ; Lenoir, Guillaume. Challenges for ice age dynamics: a dynamical systems perspective, Nonlinear and Stochastic Climate Dynamics. In: Christian L. E. Franzke - Terence J. O'Kane, Nonlinear and Stochastic Climate Dynamics, 2016, p. 1-32. 9781107118140.
2016
Crucifix, Michel ; Mitsui, Takahito. Effects of Additive Noise on the Stability of Glacial Cycles, Mathematical Paradigms of Climate Science. In: Ancona Fabio, Cannarsa Piermarco, Jones Christopher, e.a., Mathematical Paradigms of Climate Science (Mathematical Paradigms of Climate Science; 15), Springer INdAM Series, 2016, p. 93-113. 978-3-319-39091-8. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-39092-5_6.
2015
Crucifix, Michel. Climat (science et epistemologie). In: Bourg Dominique, Papaux Alain, Dictionnaire de la pensée écologique, Presses universitaires de France: Paris, 2015, p. 165-166. 978-2-13-058696-8.
2002
Crucifix, Michel. Palaeoclimate modelling over the last glacial-interglacial cycle, prom. : Berger, André, 2002.