Farah Mugrabi (UCLouvain)

will give a presentation on

Detecting and dating possibly distinct structural breaks in the covariance structure of financial assets

Abstract:

This paper aims to identify and date contagion by accounting for possibly distinct structural breaks among the covariance structure of financial assets. We propose an efficient three-steps procedure that applies the Lagrange Multiplier test, in particular the SupLM statistic, among the DCC-GARCH model parameters. Monte Carlo experiments show that our procedure possess good power and accurately detects the location of the true breaking points. We explore contagion between the government bond and stock markets of advanced and emerging economies. Evidence of common shifts in the covariance structure coincides with the European Sovereign Debt Crisis, the Taper Tantrum originated in United States in mid-2013 and the Covid-19 pandemic.

PDF: https://dial.uclouvain.be/pr/boreal/object/boreal:273269