Analyse du rôle des migrations résidentielles sur la ségrégation socio-spatiale de la partie belge de l’eurométropole
La recherche a pour objectifs principaux de s’interroger sur les questionnements suivants : L’Eurométropole fait-il partie des territoires les plus ségrégés de France à l’instar de la Métropole européenne de Lille ? Les migrations franco-belges jouent-elles un rôle dans le renforcement de cette ségrégation et comment ? Quel est le profil des ménages migrants ? Quelles propositions peuvent-être soumises à l’Eurométropole pour enrayer ce phénomène ?
- Responsable : Eggerickx Thierry
- Chercheur : Sanderson Jean-Paul
- Collaboration internationale : L'agence de développement et d'urbanisme de Lille-Métropole
- Financement : L'agence de développement et d'urbanisme de Lille-Métropole
Arrêts de transition de fécondité en Afrique subsaharienne
Depuis une vingtaine d’années, des situations d’arrêts de transition de fécondité sont observées dans plusieurs pays d’Afrique sub-saharienne. Le nombre d’enfants par femme y a baissé de manière relativement régulière, avant de stagner à des niveaux relativement élevés (autour de 4 enfants par femme). Si les baisses ont repris dans certains pays, les stagnations semblent se prolonger dans d’autres. Ces stagnations vont à l’encontre des théories classiques de la transition démographique. Elles ont aussi potentiellement un impact important sur la croissance démographique de l’Afrique, ainsi que sur la distribution de la population entre pays et au sein des pays. Dans ce projet, nous mobilisons les données d’enquêtes et de recensements pour identifier les pays et régions connaissant ou ayant connu des stagnations de fécondité. Ces données, et des travaux de terrain dans plusieurs pays d’Afrique, sont également utilisés pour comprendre les facteurs démographiques et socio-économiques à l’origine de ces arrêts de transition (ralentissement de la contraception, changement des pratiques d’union, etc.).
- Responsable : Schoumaker Bruno
- Chercheur : Sánchez-Páez David Antonio
- Financement : FNRS
A sociological approach to attitudes on climate change and on energy policies in two European countries
Public engagement has been considered key to sustainable energy transitions and action to tackle climate change, as effective policy strategies require public support and acceptance. However, public perspectives on the challenges of climate change and energy transition still need to be better explored, and effective public engagement should not be taken for granted. Specific socio-political contexts, infrastructures, and practices, among other factors, may condition the acceptance and adoption of changes. In this research, we highlight climate justice and energy justice as well as gender differences as relevant frameworks to understand issues that may arise as forms of resistance to energy transitions and climate policies, as well as to point out that such changes may aggravate forms of inequity, and lack of trust if social costs are not met. We do this by analysing data from the European Social Survey 2018). We focus on two countries: Belgium and Portugal, to investigate how levels of concern about climate change and support for renewable energy relate to gender and to the divide between people with low income, and the more educated and well off. We also discuss the relevance of notions such as «concern» and «worries» used in the European Social Survey which are inspired by psychological models, in particular the Value-Belief-Norm (VBN) model (Stern, 2000).
- Responsable : Bartiaux Françoise
- Collaborations internationales : Schmidt Luísa, Horta Ana (Université de Lisbonne)
- Chercheuse : Line Vanparys
ASSESS : Améliorer les statistiques de décès pour mieux suivre les évolutions sanitaires dans la région de Dakar
La population sénégalaise bénéficie d’une espérance de vie moyenne de 65 ans, l’une des plus élevées en Afrique sub-saharienne. Le Sénégal est par ailleurs engagé dans une transition sanitaire qui modifie la hiérarchie des maladies. Un régime de forte mortalité dominé par les maladies infectieuses (diarrhées, paludisme, …) fait place à un régime de mortalité faible, où les décès sont principalement dus à des maladies chroniques (maladies cardiovasculaires, etc.). En raison de disparités en termes d’accès aux soins, d’équipement et d’assainissement, de profondes inégalités face au décès subsistent toutefois entre milieux ruraux et urbains, ainsi qu’au sein des villes. L’agglomération dakaroise, qui rassemble 50 % de la population urbaine, fait face à une urbanisation rapide et peu maîtrisée, et les facteurs de risque pour la santé sont très inégalement distribués spatialement. Ce projet vise à introduire quelques innovations dans l’état civil dakarois pour en faire un véritable outil de planification sanitaire. Il s’agit de tester des méthodes de collecte sur les causes de décès dans les bureaux d’état civil, de mener une analyse systématique sur la mortalité dans l’agglomération dakaroise, et de documenter les inégalités de mortalité à l’aide d’analyses spatiales, en tenant compte de la grande mobilité des populations.
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Responsable : Masquelier Bruno
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Collaborations nationales et internationales : Agence Nationale de la Statistique et de la Démographie, Département de Géographie (SGOG) de l’Université de Namur, Laboratoire de Bactériologie-Virologie, Unité de Malaria de l’Université Cheikh Anta Diop de Dakar
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Financement : ARES-CDD
Care, retirement and wellbeing of older people across different welfare regimes
As societies age, the well-being of the elderly increasingly becomes a priority and challenge. CREW is an inter-disciplinary team from six institutions in five countries poised to examine the interrelationships between social participation (in the forms of paid work and caregiving) and health and wellbeing. Our proposed research covers four broad topics. First, we investigate the determinants of health and wellbeing in older age and critically examine new and old measures. Second, we describe patterns of caregiving and the impact of providing care on the wellbeing of caregivers. Third, we analyze the challenges faced by pension systems as consequence of changes in family dynamics and work patterns. Finally, we examine the population of older adults without close kin, analyse its characteristics, and how the welfare state shapes their well-being. Gender and welfare policies are transversal themes of each topic, as they shape all of the dynamics analyzed. CREW fills key policy-relevant gaps in existing research, ultimately contributing to knowledge which inform policies to guarantee high quality of ageing and equal opportunities for successful ageing for both men and women and for people of different socio-economic groups.
- Responsable : Rizzi Ester
- Chercheurs : Mikucka Malgorzata, Kim Younga
- Collaborations nationales et internationales : Universitat Pompeu Fabra (coordinator), Nederlands Interdisciplinair Demografisch Instituut, Università degli studi di Firenze, Università degli Studi di Padova, University of Western Ontario
- Financement : BELSPO
Causality in block-recursive systems
The project examine the various types of conjunctive variables and their impact on causal attributions.
- Responsable : Wunsch Guillaume
- Collaborations nationales et internationales : Mouchart Michel (CORE et ISBA, UCLouvain), Russo Federica (Universit of Amsterdam, Netherlands).
Causality in econometric modelling
This research examines different approaches for assessing causality as typically followed in econometrics and proposes a constructive perspective for improving statistical models elaborated in view of causal analysis. Without attempting to be exhaustive, this research examines some of these approaches. Traditional structural modeling is first discussed. A distinction is then drawn between model-based and design-based approaches. Some more recent developments are examined next, namely history-friendly simulation and information-theory based approaches. Finally, structural causal modeling (SCM) is presented, based on the concepts of mechanism and sub-mechanisms, and of recursive decomposition of the joint distribution of variables. This modeling strategy endeavors at representing the structure of the underlying data generating process. It operationalizes the concept of causation through the ordering and role-function of the variables in each of the intelligible sub-mechanisms.
- Responsables : Mouchart Michel (ISBA, UCLouvain), Orsi Renzo (Économie, Bologne), Wunsch Guillaume
- Collaborations nationales et internationales : Département d’économie (UCLouvain), Université de Bologne (Italie)
Child migration and parental death in rural and urban Sub-Saharan Africa
Under the MADIMAH project (Child health, migration and family composition in Africa and Asia: Comparative analysis), my research aims to study child migration after parental death within sub-Saharan Africa, while accounting for orphan’s socioeconomic environment and their household characteristics. This research examines the probabilities of child migration over a gradient of urbanicity in particular, to account for the conditions under which children live, since rural/urban residence can determine child wellbeing. This research assesses to what extent orphans have higher probabilities of migration in comparison to other children and how this differs by rural/urban sector.
- Responsable : Bocquier Philippe
- Chercheur : Menashe-Oren Ashira
- Financement : FNRS
ELLIS – Monitoring and mitigating environmental health inequalities in Belgium
The overall objectives of ELLIS are to develop tools to a) monitor the extent of socioeconomic differences in environmental burden of disease; and b) assess the impact of policy measures on environmental health inequalities. To achieve this goal, ELLIS will integrate the three dimensions of environmental health inequalities – i.e., socioeconomic deprivation, environmental exposures, and health outcomes. Pairwise integration of these dimensions gives rise to three concepts – i.e., health inequalities, environmental inequalities, and environmental health. Each of these concepts has been well described in national and international literature; however, the integration of all three, leading to environmental health inequalities, has so far received little attention. To increase flexibility and sustainability, the integration of these dimensions will take place at the level of the statistical sector (i.e., the smallest administrative subdivision of Belgium). In addition to monitoring the situation, ELLIS will allow simulating the potential impact of alternative policy scenarios on the extent of and inequalities in environmental burden of disease. Stakeholders will be pro-actively involved in order to identify the most appropriate scenarios and to facilitate knowledge transfer.
- Responsables : Eggerickx Thierry, Masquelier Bruno, Devleesschauwer Brecht (Sciensano), Bouland Catherine (ULB), Faest Christel (UHasselt)
- Chercheurs : Otavova Martina, Sanderson Jean-Paul
- Collaborations nationales : Sciensano, ULB, UHasselt
- Financement : Brain-Be/Belspo
Epidemics and inequalities in Belgium from the plague to covid-19: What can we learn about societal resilience?
EPIBEL mobilizes the wealth of information on differential vulnerability and resilience following major epidemics in the history of Belgium/the Southern Low Countries, in order to improve our understanding of societal resilience today, in three interacting domains: health, economy and social care. In order to do so, EPIBEL first of all examines the role of socio-demographic and -economic inequalities in Covid-19 mortality. Who died as a result of the pandemic? Besides age and gender, how did place of residence, occupation, education or income shape the risk of dying from Covid-19? Secondly, EPIBEL investigates whether inequalities in Covid-19 mortality differed from previous epidemic outbreaks, both in their short-term impact and in longer-term resilience. Thirdly, EPIBEL aims to understand whether inequalities in the economic impact of epidemic outbreaks mirrored pre-existing socio-economic inequalities, how they interacted with health inequalities, and how they compromised societal resilience. Fourthly, EPIBEL investigates how the scale and organisation of social care and welfare systems might mitigate the effects of an epidemic outbreak on the poor and foster their resilience. Finally, EPIBEL informs policymakers on the importance of inequalities when promoting societal resilience. How have «epidemic policies» in the past affected resilience? Are policies which explicitly take into account inequalities more efficient in promoting resilience than more «universal» policies?
- Responsables : Eggerickx Thierry, Devos Isabelle (UGent), Soens Tim (UAntwerp), Greefs Hilde (UAntwerp)
- Chercheurs : Bourguignon Mélanie, Doignon Yoann, Sanderson Jean-Paul
- Collaborations nationales : Université de Gand, Université d'Anvers
- Financement : Brain 2.0-Belspo
European humanitarian action partnership
The project aims to promote the exchange of best and innovative practices and improve the quality and efficiency of education in the field of humanitarian action in order to increase professionalization.
- Responsable : Gourbin Catherine
- Collaborations nationales et internationales : NOHA, RedR UK, Aktion Deutschland Hilft, Bioforce, Accion contra el Hambre, Oxford Brooks University, Norges-Teknisk-Naturvitenskapelige Universitet
- Financement : Erasmus +, Union Européenne
Family ties and well-being during the pandemic
The research project focuses on Covid-19 and the ambivalent role of family ties. Household structure and family ties can favour the transmission of the infection, but can also protect their members from adverse health outcomes related to Covid-19. Because of lack of data, studies have been limited to aggregated data at the country level, incurring in the ecological fallacy problem. Using individual data from the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE Covid-19) and other sources, the project will analyse the role of family ties on older adults’ well-being before, during, and after the Covid-19 outbreak. This project has the potential to help policy makers in the implementation of policies of social distancing and prevention, in particular for older people and for both men and women belonging to different socio-economic groups.
- Responsable : Rizzi Ester
- Chercheur : Uccheddu Damiano
- Financement : Projets exceptionnels de recherche (PER-FNRS)
Familyties: liens familiaux, migration interne et immobilité
L’objectif du projet est d’identifier le rôle des liens familiaux dans la migration interne, l’immobilité et le marché du travail. Les objectifs sont les suivants : a) identifier le rôle des liens familiaux en tant que facteur dissuasif de la migration et déterminant clé de l’immobilité ; b) expliquer la migration vers les membres non-résidents de la famille ; c) déterminer dans quelle mesure et pour qui les motifs familiaux entraînent la migration ; d) déterminer si la (im)mobilité liée aux liens familiaux a d’autres conséquences sur la carrière professionnelle que la (im)mobilité liée aux autres facteurs. UCLouvain est depuis septembre 2018 le deuxième bénéficiaire de ce projet ERC-Advanced-Grant (2017-2022 ; l’investigatrice principale est Clara H. Mulder, Université de Groningen, Pays-Bas).
- Responsables : Schnor Christine, Mulder Clara H. (Université de Groningen)
- Chercheurs : Schnor Christine, Zuzana Zilicikova
- Collaborations internationales : Université de Groningen, Pays-Bas
- Financement : ERC
- Durée du projet : 09/2018-08/2023
Family transformations – Incentives and norms
Over the last century, marriage and the family have undergone dramatic transformations, both in industrialized and less developed countries. Within a few decades, new patterns such as blended families or same-sex couples have emerged, divorce rates have increased, and fertility has gone down. This is also the cause and the outcome of value changes. This joint project aims at leading to new insights onto the mechanisms that drive family transformations as well as to a better under- standing of their consequences. Family changes are accompanied by profound modifications of women’s social status and roles in society. However, some authors argue that the gender revolution is «incomplete» or «stalled» because gender equality is especially lagging inside the family, in contrast to what happens in education and the labor. Gender will thus be at the heart of this project too, both at the explanatory and at the normative level.
- Responsables : Rizzi Ester, Baudin Thomas, de la Croix David, Gosseries Axel, Mariani Fabio, Pienseroso Luca
- Chercheurs : Brée Sandra, Chabé-Ferret Bastien, Dantis Charalampos, Frigo Annalisa, Gobbi Paula, Kondi Keiti, Ma Li, Mikucka Malgorzata, Mercier Marion, Munno Cristina, Oikonomo Rigas, Rizzo Elisa, Stelter Robert, Roca Fernandez Èric, Salomone Sara, Sarkar Koyel, Truffa Francesca
- Collaborations nationales et internationales : INED, MPIDR, Università Bocconi Milano, Universiteit Antwerpen
- Financement : Actions de Recherche Concertées (ARC)
Globmig: New approaches to understanding and modelling global migration trends
The recent refugee crisis placed migration policy in the forefront of the global policy debate. World economy trends suggest that there may be further episodes of large-scale migration in the future. GLOBMIG is a 48-month interdisciplinary project that aims at developing stronger conceptual tools to better understand and model global migration patterns. It has assembled a team of economists, demographers, lawyers, and computer scientists around three objectives: (i) to gain understanding of the long-run root drivers of international migration and of their complex interactions with the socio-demographic, climatic, institutional and economic environments, (ii) to produce integrated projections of migration, population, and global inequality, and (iii) to use the knowledge base to assess the effectiveness and policy coherence of the legal framework. Despite considerable improvements in the recent literature, little is known about the root drivers of long-run trends in the size and structure of migration, about the interplay between internal and international migrations, or about the effects of policy reforms on migration flows and about their coherence with other policies. GLOBMIG aims at shedding light on these issues. It goes beyond the state of the art in combining traditional and innovative sources of data (e.g., big data on cell-phone owners’ mobility, worldwide opinion surveys on migration intentions, geo-referenced data on population changes, comparative data on immigration laws and policies), and in developing new methodologies for processing and analyzing them (e.g., data mining, machine learning, migration accounting models). The project is divided into two phases and six work packages. In the first «designing phase» of the project, general modelling tools will be developed, the inventory and assessment of migration laws and policies will be produced, and the exploratory analyses of innovative data sources will be conducted. In the second “operational phase” (24 months), we will produce specific knowledge on the links between international migration, internal migration, migration policies, demo-economic changes, climatic factors and conflicts.
- Responsables : Bocquier Philippe, Carlier Jean-Yves (EDEM, UCLouvain), Docquier Frédéric (IRES, UCLouvain), Saroléa Sylvie (EDEM, UCLouvain), Schaus Pierre (ICTM, UCLouvain), Nijssen Siegfried (ICTM, UCLouvain)
- Chercheurs : menashe-Oren Ashira, Aoga John, Bae Juhee, Cunca Erick, Gatta Francesco, Veljanoska Stefanija
- Financement : Action de recherche concertée (ARC)
IPV-PRO&POL, Intimate partner violence: Impact, processes, evolution and related public policies in Belgium
L’objectif du projet est d’analyser l’évolution du phénomène des violences conjugales en Belgique et d’évaluer les politiques publiques dans ce domaine. Les tâches de DEMO sont premièrement de dresser un état de la situation à partir des données statistiques disponibles et, deuxièmement, d’analyser les profils sociodémographiques et les parcours de vie des populations concernées.
- Responsables : Eggerickx Thierry, Rousseaux Xavier (INCAL, UCLouvain)
- Chercheurs : Plavsic Audrey, Sanderson Jean-Paul
- Collaborations nationales : National Institute for Criminalists and Criminology, RHEA (VUB), CHDJ (UCLouvain), Department of Psychology (ULg)
- Financement : BELSPO
Is paternity leave an effective policy? Looking for evidence with a quasinatural experiment
This research project aims at determining if, in addition to favor gender equity, the paternal leave may be an efficient policy to increase fertility in developed countries experiencing low fertility rates. Grounding on the German case, it will try to answer two precise questions using individual data from the German Panel (G-SOEP): (i) what are the main determinants of the fathers’ decision to take a paternal leave? and (ii) do couples having enjoyed a paternal leave have more chance to get an additional child? Answering these two questions in the German context is quite important as this German case (contrary to the Swedish one) is often cited as evidence against the efficiency of paternal leave. In this project, we propose to shed a new light on this topic by using quantitative longitudinal analysis.
- Responsables : Baudin Thomas, Rizzi Ester
- Chercheur : Dantis Charalampos
- Collaborations nationales et internationales : Institut National d’Études Démographiques, France ; Vienna Institute of Demography
- Financement : F.R.S.-FNRS
Les inégalités sociales et territoriales de mortalité lors des grandes épidémies belges dès 19-21ème siècles
À l'instar des grandes épidémies du passé, l'épidémie de Covid-19 a bouleversé le fonctionnement de notre société et révélé des antagonismes sociaux latents. Les épidémies sont généralement révélatrices d’inégalités sociodémographiques, affectant les sexes, les âges, les groupes sociaux et les milieux de résidence. L’objectif de ce projet est d’analyser comment se construisent les inégalités sociodémographiques et territoriales de mortalité dans le cadre des épidémies les plus meurtrières de l’histoire récente de la Belgique : le choléra (1866), la variole (1871), la grippe espagnole (1918-19), la grippe de Hong Kong (1968-69) et la Covid-19 (2020). Interroger les épidémies anciennes permettra de situer la crise sanitaire actuelle dans le cours de l’histoire, d’y trouver des analogies pour en améliorer la compréhension et la gestion en vue de futures épidémies. Plus précisément, il s'agira de mettre en évidence les inégalités sociodémographiques et spatiales de mortalité créées par les épidémies, d’analyser le contexte sociodémographique dans lequel elles se sont développées et d’en mesurer les effets sur l’évolution du différentiel social de mortalité. Il faut souligner que les épidémies constituent globalement des points aveugles de l'histoire sociodémographique de la Belgique. L’analyse comparative des 5 épidémies repose sur un corpus de données disparates au potentiel variable et sur une double approche. La première approche sera «agrégée», reposant sur les données des statistiques du mouvement de la population et de l'état-civil (décès toutes causes et par cause), des recensements de la population, etc. La seconde approche sera «individuelle» : elle mobilisera les données du Registre national, des recensements de la population et des bulletins de décès pour l’analyse de la Covid-19 et de la grippe de Hong-Kong ; pour les épidémies anciennes, elle reposera sur l’exploitation des registres de population, de décès de l’état-civil et des causes de décès.
- Responsable : Eggerickx Thierry
- Chercheur : Bourguignon Mélanie
- Financement : PDR (FNRS)
LIMA: Personal aspirations and processes of adaptation: How the legal framework impacts on migrants’ agency?
Le projet LIMA est un projet pluridisciplinaire (droit, sociologie, démographie) financé dans le cadre des Actions de Recherche Concertées (2015-2020). L’objectif de ce projet est d’examiner comment le cadre légal – belge et européen – influence les trajectoires migratoires, familiales et professionnelles des migrants de pays tiers, et dans quelle mesure ce cadre est compatible avec la réalisation des aspirations des migrants. Il implique également une analyse du cadre juridique européen et belge en matière de regroupement familial, d’accès au marché du travail et de mobilité, et l’analyse des parcours administratifs, professionnels et familiaux de migrants en Belgique. Il repose sur l’exploitation des données du Registre National et de la Banque Carrefour de la Sécurité Sociale et impliquera également la réalisation d’enquêtes quantitatives et qualitatives auprès de migrants d’origine indienne, congolaise et américaine.
- Responsables : Sarolea Sylvie (EDEM, UCLouvain), Schoumaker Bruno, Merla Laura (CIRFASE, UCLouvain), Marquet Jacques (CIRFASE, UCLouvain)
- Chercheurs : Vause Sophie, Carpentier Sarah
- Collaborations nationales et internationales : EDEM (UCLouvain), CIRFASE (UCLouvain)
- Financement : Actions de Recherche Concertées (ARC)
- Site web : www.limauclouvain.eu
Low morbidity and mortality. Implications for data collection
The purpose of this project is to review existing sources of data on mortality, morbidity and health in Europe, in order to examine their potential for monitoring trends in situations of decreasing mortality but of increasing prevalence of dependency both physical and mental. Data sources for evaluating health care performance and costs lie outside the scope of this project.
- Responsables : Wunsch Guillaume, Gourbin Catherine
Measuring invisibility Brussel (Measinb)
L’objectif de la recherche est de dresser les trajectoires socio-spatiales qui conduisent au décrochage socio-économique, ce qui se traduit par une exclusion des registres administratifs. La recherche MEANSIB propose de mieux comprendre tant les phénomènes de sherwoodisation, c’est-à-dire d’exclusion volontaire d’une partie de la population que les conséquences d’une disparition subie des NEET (Not in Employment, Education, or Trai-ning) des écrans radars des bases de données administratives. Elle mettra en place des méthodes quantitatives et qualitatives innovantes permettant de discerner les contextes socio-spatiaux de la disparition des individus de ces bases de données. Elle vise également à déterminer un cadre éthique et épistémologique de l’utilisation des données mobilisées pour appréhender les phénomènes de disparition des fichiers informatiques.
- Responsable : Eggerickx Thierry
- Chercheur : Sanderson Jean-Paul
- Collaborations nationales : Centre de Recherches et d’Études pour l’Action Territoriale (CREAT, UCLouvain), Centre METICES (ULB)
- Financement : Région Bruxelles-Capitale (Appel Innoviris)
Migrations internes et statégies résidentielles en Belgique du 19ème siècle à nos jours
L’objectif global porte sur l’analyse des migrations internes en Belgique du début du 19ème siècle à nos jours. Il s’agit d’en étudier les caractéristiques, causes et effets socio-économiques, ainsi que les stratégies (choix résidentiel, proximité intergénérationnelle, …) mises en oeuvre et leurs interactions avec les autres paramètres démographiques.
- Responsable : Eggerickx Thierry
- Chercheur : Eggerickx Thierry
- Financement : F.R.S.-FNRS
New survey measures of mortality at older ages in low and middle-income countries
Following large declines in childhood mortality and progress in lowering mortality from causes of death that affect young adults (e.g., HIV/AIDS), mortality is rapidly shifting to older age groups in low- and lower middle-income countries (LLMICs). We will test a survey method for the measurement of mortality above age 50 in LLMICs, the «parental survival history» (PSH). PSH extends the approach used to generate survey data on mortality in younger age groups, by asking respondents to report the vital status of their biological parents, as well as their age (if alive) or age at death and time since death (if deceased). On average, PSH requires < 2 minutes per respondent to be collected. It can thus readily be integrated into the protocols of major survey programs implemented in LLMICs such as the Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) or the Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys (MICS). We have 3 specific aims: (1) To examine the possibility of sample selection biases in PSH data, using long-term data from HDSS in Senegal, Guinea-Bissau, Malawi, Bangladesh and Uganda (2) To evaluate reporting errors in PSH data, using PSH data from > 4,000 respondents in Malawi, Bangladesh and Uganda, (3) to investigate the accuracy and statistical power of mortality estimates based on PSH data using simulations.
- Responsables : Masquelier Bruno, Helleringer Stéphane (NYU)
- Chercheurs : Menashe-Oren Ashira, Schlüter Benjamin
- Collaboration : NYU
- Financement : NIH
Organisation de la partie francophone de l’enquête sociale européenne
L’ESS, European Social Survey, est une enquête sociale générale réalisée tous les deux ans dans les pays européens. Les objectifs de cette enquête sont de décrire les constantes et les changements dans la structure sociale, les conditions de vie et les attitudes en Europe, et interpréter l’évolution du tissu social, politique et moral ; atteindre et diffuser les plus hauts standards de qualité applicables à la recherche internationale en sciences sociales, notamment en matière de conception et pré-test du questionnaire, échantillonnage, collecte de données, réduction des biais d’enquête et fiabilité des questions ; proposer des indicateurs robustes d’évolution nationale, basés sur les perceptions et opinions des citoyens sur les aspects-clés de leur société ; former (et faciliter la formation) des chercheurs en sciences sociales à la mesure quantitative comparative et à son analyse ; améliorer la visibilité et la diffusion des données sur le changement social auprès du monde académique, politique et du grand public.
- Responsable : Baudewyns Pierre (ISPOLE, UCLouvain)
- Collaborations nationales : DEMO (UCLouvain), CIRFASE (UCLouvain), SMCS, KULeuven
- Financement : FNRS
Pratiques de consommations, classes sociales et émotions
Dans une société capitaliste comme la société belge où la consommation dite de masse est un impératif social, que déclarent comme émotions celles et ceux qui ne peuvent participer à cette consommation ? Cette participation se manifeste par des pratiques de consommation (comme partir une semaine en vacances, avoir une alimentation riche en protéines, acheter des vêtements ou des meubles neufs) qui signent l’inclusion dans cette société. Ces pratiques ont-elles le même pouvoir symbolique pour montrer l’adhésion à la société de consommation, quelle que soit la classe sociale ? Le genre marque-t-il une différence ? Comment celles et ceux qui, faute de moyens financiers, ne peuvent se permettre ces pratiques évaluent-ils leurs émotions, en particulier les émotions négatives comme la dépression, la tristesse, la solitude, le sentiment d’échec ou d’exclusion ? Le cadre théorique orientant cette recherche comprend les théories des pratiques sociales, les recherches à la suite des travaux de Bourdieu, et la sociologie des émotions. La méthodologie se base sur une analyse secondaire des données de l’enquête belge du Generation and Gender Programme réalisée en 2009. La première étape constitue à créer une typologie des classes sociales et à y classer chaque individu ayant répondu à l’enquête.
- Responsable : Bartiaux Françoise
- Collaborations nationales et internationales : Burnay Nathalie (UCLouvain et UNamur), Welsch Daniel (University of Manchester)
Rapid mortality mobile phone surveys during covid-19 (Rammps)
The Covid-19 pandemic highlighted that «excess mortality», i.e. how many more deaths there are compared to a recent pre-Covid-19 past, is the most robust measure for understanding the true magnitude of an epidemic and its impact. Estimates of excess mortality are typically derived from civil registration and vital statistics (CRVS) systems, but in low and lower-middle income countries, these are often insufficiently performant to fulfil data needs. Without well-functioning CRVS, population-based mortality estimates are derived from censuses and surveys, using retrospective questions on the survival of relatives or household members. However, following the Covid-19 outbreak, many large survey programs, including the Demographic and Health Surveys and Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys, have suspended or postponed fieldwork and empirical data on the mortality impact of Covid-19 are scarce. Therefore, it is imperative to develop methods and tools for measuring excess mortality in LMICs. Rapid Mortality Mobile Phone Surveys (RAMMPS) are a viable approach to safely generating timely (excess) mortality data in settings where suitable alternatives are lacking. Owing to the expansion of mobile phone use, mobile phone surveys have become highly popular in LLMICs but have not yet been used for mortality surveillance. Further, surveys can be conducted without in-person contact with respondents, which makes them parti-cularly suitable for settings affected by epidemics or humanitarian crises where the mobility of interviewers may be restricted. RAMMPS will be conducted in four countries including Malawi, Burkina Faso, Mozambique, and Bangladesh. The study team at UC Louvain will draw on existing survey data to pursue two objectives: (1) using existing survey data to find ways to shorten the standardized data collection instruments for mortality estimation, (2) assessing selection biases in mortality estimates associated with mobile phone ownership.
- Responsables : Masquelier Bruno, Reniers Georges (PI, LSHTM)
- Chercheurs : Menashe-Oren Ashira, Schlüter Benjamin
- Collaborations: London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (LSHTM), John’s Hopkins University (JHU), Instituto Nacional de Saude (INS), Malawi Epidemiology and Interventions Research Unit (MEIRU), Institut Superieur Supérieur des Sciences de la Population (ISSP), New York University – Abu Dhabi (NYU), International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh (icddr, b), Institute of Epidemiology, Disease Control & Research (IEDCR).
SODA : Social sciences and humanities data archive
L’objectif de ce projet est de constituer une «archive belge» des enquêtes et données collectées en sciences humaines. Pratiquement, il s’agit de construire un outil de dépôt des données d’enquêtes réalisées en sciences humaines dans les différentes universités belges de manière à pouvoir les réutiliser pour d’autres projets.
- Responsables : Eggerickx Thierry, Schoumaker Bruno
- Chercheurs : Sanderson Jean-Paul
- Collaborations nationales et internationales : VUB, Archives Générales du Royaume (AGR)
- Financement : BELSPO
Solar water heating users in California
Working correctly, solar water heating systems for homes require much less fossil fuel than conventionally powered counterparts. In some countries these systems have been popular for decades. But even in places environmentally well-suited, they are not necessarily widely used. This is the case in California, where solar water heating is rare despite favourable weather, a decade-long incentive program, and an embrace of rooftop photovoltaics. The availability of low-priced natural gas in the state has been the general explanation for this absence. As California, along with other governments, assertively targeting the decarbonization of energy systems, the reasons for pursuing solar water heating have changed. But research on the experiences and perspectives of California households who use solar water heating is almost entirely missing. This research presents a reflection on what the Californian research team learned by talking to California households who use solar water heating systems, and relates these findings to policies and strategies for achieving low-carbon futures.
- Responsable : Bartiaux Françoise
- Collaborations internationales : Lutzenhiser Loren (Portland State University, USA), Moezzi Mithra (QQForward, USA), Hansen Arve (University of Oslo)
STALLED FOR GOOD? Identifying coexisting and potential conflicting norms of good motherhood in Belgium
Background. Women made great achievements towards gender equality in professional life and gender egalitarian attitudes have widely spread. Nevertheless, women much more than men reduce their work for caring responsibilities. A recent European directive aims to promote gender equality. This attempt contrasts with the prevailing idea that women are mainly responsible for their children’s care. Normative models that oscillate between traditional and modern mother roles are likely to reduce the effectiveness of recent policies and may thwart economic progress. Despite many studies investigating this stalled revolution, a differentiated view on coexistent and potential conflicting motherhood norms remains elusive, since within-country norm plurality has been neglected.
Objectives. This project aims a) to reconstruct normative discourses of good motherhood in their plurality; b) to evaluate whether a common point of reference exists across different social groups and across national contexts c) to understand how norm plurality situate in mothers’ daily life and how they relate to mothers’ employment behavior
Method. We draw on Belgium as an excellent case study; its leave policy combines high levels of flexibility and gender neutrality and may serve as a role model; still, take-up remains gendered. Relying on a multi-method sequential approach, we analyze survey data and conduct focus group discussions to identify normative discourses. Drawing on a most-different cases design, we aim to compare our results in a collaboration project with Austria. Using individual interviews, we study how mothers integrate these normative constructs into their everyday lives. Finally, we estimate how conflicting norms relate to mothers’ employment.
Contribution. By identifying motherhood norms in their plurality, this project will establish a basis for future research on the individual and social consequences of conformity to and deviance from norms.
- Responsable : Chrsitine Schnor
- Chercheurs : Chrsitine Schnor, Laetitia Bideau, Clara Maréchal, Jonathan Dedonder
- Collaborations nationales et internationales : Université de Vienne : Prof. Ulrike Zartler, Dr. Eva-Maria Schmidt & Fabienne Décieux.
- Financement : FNRS (PDR)
- Durée du projet : 01/2022-12/2025
The impact of migration on under-5 child health in Africa
The lives of a high proportion of children under-5 in Africa are affected by the rise in internal and international migration. Empirical studies show that changes in family structure, household wealth, and place of residence impact on healthcare, access to health services, health status, and the survival of both the children who migrate and those who are left behind. Most past research has focused on health at destination and has not taken account of the variation in wealth and living arrangements before and after relatives’ migration or death, and has not controlled for independent migration of children and other family members. The consequences of death or migration-related fostering on child health are of particular importance in Africa given the AIDS epidemic, armed conflicts, and poverty. Our objective is to evaluate the nature and extent of the impacts of migration and household living arrangements on under-5 child’s health risks. We will analyse the extensive data gathered by the INDEPTH Network, a yet to be exploited major information resource on these issues. This will be used to reconstruct family relationships using multi-year longitudinal data covering more than 18,000 child deaths amongst 1 million children under-5 in at least 25 Health and Demographic Surveillance Sites (HDSS) in 10 or more African countries. To better understand child health outcomes we will control for the first time in longitudinal analyses for the impacts of children’s migration, parents’ and siblings’ migration, parents’ and siblings’ death, household composition and socio-economic environment. We will then use the findings to test key hypotheses regarding the extent of the differential impact of migration and household shocks on child health. The new insights gained will contribute to the SDGs regarding child health support in highly mobile and vulnerable sub-Saharan African populations and thus to the design of more effective interventions.
- Responsables : Ginsburg Carren (Université du Witwatersrand), Bocquier Philippe
- Collaboration internationale : Université du Witwatersrand
- Financement : FNRS, NRF
The issue of control in complex systems. A contribution of structural modelling
Building upon Judea Pearl’s directed acyclic graphs approach to causality and the tradition of structural modelling in econometrics and social science, the present project examines the issue of control in complex systems with multiple causes and outcomes. It deals first with three-variable saturated and unsaturated models, and then focuses on more complex systems including models with collider or latent confounder discussed by Pearl. The purpose of this project is to develop simple rules for selecting the variables to control for when studying the direct effect of a cause on an outcome or the total effect when dealing with multiple causal paths.
- Responsable : Wunsch Guillaume
- Collaborations nationales et internationales : Moucart Michel (CORE and ISBA, UCLouvain), Russo Federica (University of Amsterdam, Netherlands)
Vers des pratiques plus favorables à l’environnement ?
La relation population-environnement est analysée au niveau des ménages, spécialement en Belgique et dans d’autres pays du Nord. Cette recherche vise à élucider les différents facteurs (matériels, socio-culturels, etc.) associés aux changements de pratiques ou aux résistances à ceux-ci, en matière d’utilisation de l’énergie, de travaux de rénovation énergétique, d’achats de biens de consommation courante, d’utilisation de l’énergie et autres pratiques qui ont un impact sur l’environnement. Le cadre théorique privilégié est celui des théories des pratiques sociales.
- Responsable : Bartiaux Françoise
- Chercheurs : Bartiaux Françoise, Anciaux Amélie (CriDIS-UCLouvain)
- Financement : F.R.S.-FNRS
- Collaborations nationales et internationales : Danish Building Research Institute, Copenhague, Danemark ; Instituto de Ciências Sociais da Universidade de Lisboa, Portugal ; WWF, Bruxelles, Belgique et Zurich, Suisse