Pension Insurance and Financial Risks

Journal Articles

1. Ketelbuters, John John; Hainaut, Donatien. A Recursive Method for Fractional Hawkes Intensities and the Potential Approach of Credit Risk. In: Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics, (2024). (Accepté/Sous presse). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/286211

2. Leunga Njike, Charles Guy; Hainaut, Donatien. Affine Heston model style with self-exciting jumps and long memory. In: Annals of Finance, (2024). doi:10.1007/s10436-023-00436-z (Accepté/Sous presse). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/283637

3. Zeddouk, Fadoua; Devolder, Pierre. Pricing and hedging of longevity basis risk through securitisation. In: Astin Bulletin : the journal of the International Actuarial Association, Vol. 54, no. 1, p. 159-184 (2024). doi:10.1017/asb.2023.37. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/282936

4. Hanna, Vanessa; Devolder, Pierre. Valuation of mixed life insurance contracts under stochastic correlated mortality and interest rates. In: European Actuarial Journal, (2024). doi:10.1007/s13385-023-00354-4 (Accepté/Sous presse). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/276058

5. Hainaut, Donatien. A mutually exciting rough jump-diffusion for financial modelling. In: Fractional Calculus and Applied Analysis, Vol. 27, no. 1, p. 319-352 (2024). doi:10.1007/s13540-023-00234-4. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/283639

6. Devolder, Pierre; Russo, Emilio; Staino, Alessandro. Fair valuations of insurance policies under multiple risk factors: A flexible lattice approach. In: Astin Bulletin : the journal of the International Actuarial Association, (2024). doi:10.1017/asb.2024.5 (Accepté/Sous presse). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/286031

7. Denuit, Michel; Huyghe, Julie; Trufin, Julien; Verdebout, Thomas. Testing for auto-calibration with Lorenz and Concentration curves. In: Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Vol. 117, p. 130-139 (2024). doi:10.1016/j.insmatheco.2024.04.003. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/287385

8. Van Oirbeek, Robin; Vandervorst, Félix; Bury, Thomas; Willame, Gireg; Grumiau, Christopher; Verdonck, Tim. Non-Differentiable Loss Function Optimization and Interaction Effect Discovery in Insurance Pricing Using the Genetic Algorithm. In: Risks, Vol. 12, no.5, p. 79 (2024). doi:10.3390/risks12050079. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/287528

9. Deelstra, Griselda; Devolder, Pierre; Roelants du Vivier, Benjamin. Impact of correlation between interest rates and mortality rates on the valuation of various life insurance products. In: Astin Bulletin : the journal of the International Actuarial Association, (2024). (Accepté/Sous presse). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/288552

10. Denuit, Michel; Trufin, Julien. Convex and Lorenz orders under balance correction in nonlife insurance pricing: Review and new developments. In: Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Vol. 118, p. 123-128 (2024). doi:10.1016/j.insmatheco.2024.06.003. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/289282

11. Hanna, Vanessa; Devolder, Pierre. Deterministic lifestyle investment strategy in mixed life insurance contracts. In: Decisions in Economics and Finance : a journal of applied mathematics, (2024). (Accepté/Sous presse). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/292145

12. Denuit, Michel; Robert, Christian Y. Conditional Mean Risk Sharing of Independent Discrete Losses in Large Pools. In: Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Vol. 26, p. 36 (2024). doi:10.1007/s11009-024-10106-w. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/291861

13. Belhouari, Oussama; Deelstra, Griselda; Devolder, Pierre. Hybrid life insurance valuation based on a new standard deviation premium principle in a stochastic interest rate framework. In: European Actuarial Journal, (2024). doi:10.1007/s13385-024-00396-2 (Accepté/Sous presse). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/292143

14. Huyghe, Julie; Trufin, Julien; Denuit, Michel. Boosting cost-complexity pruned trees on Tweedie responses: the ABT machine for insurance ratemaking. In: Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, Vol. 2024, no.5, p. 417-439 (2024). doi:10.1080/03461238.2023.2258135. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/287094

15. Hindriks, Jean; Devolder, Pierre. Cadre pour une réforme acceptable des pensions. In: Regards économiques, , no.178 (2023). doi:10.14428/regardseco/2023.02.17.01. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/272924

16. Hanna, Vanessa; Devolder, Pierre. Optimal Choice between Defined Contribution and Cash Balance Pension Schemes: Balancing Interests of Employers and Workers. In: Risks, Vol. 11, no.7, p. 135 (2023). doi:10.3390/risks11070135. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/278517

17. Hainaut, Donatien. Pricing of spread and exchange options in a rough jump–diffusion market. In: Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics, Vol. 149, p. 114752 (2023). doi:10.1016/j.cam.2022.114752. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/265606

18. Denuit, Michel; Robert, Christian Y. Conditional mean risk sharing of losses at occurrence time in the compound Poisson surplus model. In: Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Vol. 112, p. 23-32 (2023). doi:10.1016/j.insmatheco.2023.05.008. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/275458

19. Ciatto, Nicolas; Verelst, Harrison; Trufin, Julien; Denuit, Michel. Does autocalibration improve goodness of lift?. In: European Actuarial Journal, Vol. 13, no.1, p. 479-486 (2023). doi:10.1007/s13385-022-00330-4. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/274614

20. Devolder, Pierre. Viabilité financière, adéquation sociale et équité de notre système de pension. In: Revue Bancaire et Financière, (2023). (Accepté/Sous presse). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/273918

21. Denuit, Michel; Trufin, Julien. Model selection with Pearson’s correlation, concentration and Lorenz curves under autocalibration. In: European Actuarial Journal, Vol. 13, no.2, p. 871-878 (2023). doi:10.1007/s13385-023-00353-5. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/280223

22. Denuit, Michel; Robert, Christian Y. From risk reduction to risk elimination by conditional mean risk sharing of independent losses. In: Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Vol. 108, p. 46-59 (2022). doi:10.1016/j.insmatheco.2022.11.003. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/267676

23. Dupret, Jean-Loup; Barbarin, Jérôme; Hainaut, Donatien. Impact of rough stochastic volatility models on long-term life insurance pricing. In: European Actuarial Journal, Vol. 13, no. 1, p. 235-275 (2023). doi:10.1007/s13385-022-00317-1. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/263669

24. Cadena, Meitner; Denuit, Michel. Mortality projections for higher educational attainment with semi-parametric accelerated hazard relational models. In: Decisions in Economics and Finance : a journal of applied mathematics, Vol. 46, no.2, p. 569-582 (2023). doi:10.1007/s10203-023-00391-4. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/280225

25. Hainaut, Donatien; Trufin, Julien; Denuit, Michel. Response versus gradient boosting trees, GLMs and neural networks under Tweedie loss and log-link. In: Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, Vol. 2022, no.10, p. 841-866 (2022). doi:10.1080/03461238.2022.2037016. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/266705

26. Denuit, Michel; Robert, Christian Y. Conditional Tail Expectation Decomposition and Conditional Mean Risk Sharing for Dependent and Conditionally Independent Losses. In: Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Vol. 24, p. 1953-1985 (2022). doi:10.1007/s11009-021-09888-0. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/264444

27. Seck, Ndeye Arame; Denuit, Michel. Adaptive Splines for Continuous Features in Risk Assessment. In: CAS E-Forum, Vol. Summer (2022). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/265892

28. Hainaut, Donatien. Multivariate claim processes with rough intensities: properties and estimation. In: Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Vol. 107, no.n/a/, p. 269-287 (2022). doi:10.1016/j.insmatheco.2022.08.010. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/265607

29. Denuit, Michel; Dhaene, Jan; Robert, Christian Y. Risk-sharing rules and their properties, with applications to peer‐to‐peer insurance. In: Journal of Risk and Insurance, Vol. 89, no.3, p. 615-667 (2022). doi:10.1111/jori.12385. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/264447

30. Denuit, Michel; Robert, Christian Y. Polynomial Series Expansions and Moment Approximations for Conditional Mean Risk Sharing of Insurance Losses. In: Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Vol. 24, p. 693-711 (2022). doi:10.1007/s11009-021-09881-7. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/262874

31. Soetewey, Antoine; Legrand, Catherine; Denuit, Michel; Silversmit, Geert. Semi-markov modeling for cancer insurance. In: European Actuarial Journal, Vol. 12, p. 813–837 (2022). doi:10.1007/s13385-022-00308-2. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/260117

32. Denuit, Michel; Robert, Christian Y. Conditional mean risk sharing in the individual model with graphical dependencies. In: Annals of Actuarial Science, Vol. 16, no. 1, p. 183-209 (2022). doi:10.1017/s1748499521000166. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/259117

33. Denuit, Michel; Hieber, Peter; Robert, Christian Y. Mortality credits within large survivor funds. In: Astin Bulletin : the journal of the International Actuarial Association, Vol. 52, no.3, p. 813-834 (2022). doi:10.1017/asb.2022.13. https://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/265524

34. Hanna, Vanessa; Hieber, Peter; Devolder, Pierre. Mixed participating and unit-linked life insurance contracts: design, pricing and optimal strategy. In: Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, Vol. 2022, no. 5, p. 421-446 (2022). doi:10.1080/03461238.2021.1992001. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/253289

35. Denuit, Michel; Robert, Christian. Peering ahead. In: The Actuary, no. January-February, p. 38-39 (2022). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/258574

36. Ketelbuters, John John; Hainaut, Donatien. CDS pricing with fractional Hawkes processes. In: European Journal of Operational Research, Vol. 297, no.3, p. 1139-1150 (2022). doi:10.1016/j.ejor.2021.06.045. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/257590

37. Hainaut, Donatien. Lévy Interest Rate Models with a Long Memory. In: Risks, Vol. 10, no.1, p. 2 (2022). doi:10.3390/risks10010002. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/257588

38. Corradin, Alexandre; Denuit, Michel; Detyniecki, Marcin; Grari, Vincent; Sammarco, Matteo; Trufin, Julien. Joint modeling of claim frequencies and behavioral signals in motor insurance. In: Astin Bulletin : the journal of the International Actuarial Association, Vol. 52, no.1, p. 33-54 (2022). doi:10.1017/asb.2021.24. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/257959

39. Njike Leunga, Charles Guy; Hainaut, Donatien. Valuation of Annuity Guarantees under a Self-Exciting Switching Jump Model. In: Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Vol. 24, p. 963–990 (2022). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/257592

40. Ketelbuters, John John; Hainaut, Donatien. Time-consistent evaluation of credit risk with contagion. In: Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics, Vol. 403, p. 113848 (2022). doi:10.1016/j.cam.2021.113848. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/252036

41. Devolder, Pierre; Hindriks, Jean. Une pension légale sous forme d’un compte pension. In: Regards économiques, Vol. Focus, no. 28 (2022). doi:10.14428/regardseco2022.02.03.01. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/259744

42. Ngugnie Diffouo, Pauline; Devolder, Pierre. Solvency measurement of life annuity products. In: International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance, Vol. 25, no.2, p. 2250003 (2022). doi:10.1142/S0219024922500030. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/259742

43. Denuit, Michel; Robert, Christian Y. Collaborative Insurance with Stop-Loss Protection and Team Partitioning. In: North American Actuarial Journal, Vol. 26, no.1, p. 143-160 (2022). doi:10.1080/10920277.2020.1855199. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/259094

44. Lanotte, Myriam; Devolder, Pierre. Communication relative aux pensions : digitalisation et défis pour l'avenir. In: Revue Belge de Sécurité Sociale, Vol. 2021, no. 4, p. 517-538 (2021). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/268699

45. Devolder, Pierre; Degoli, Maria-Cristina. Les enjeux et les perspectives de la pension à points à la lumière de l'expérience belge. In: Droit Social, Vol. 5, no. 5, p. 413-421 (2021). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/248359

46. Cadena, Meitner; Denuit, Michel. A new measure of mortality differentials based on precedence probability. In: European Actuarial Journal, Vol. 11, p. 717-724 (2021). doi:10.1007/s13385-021-00280-3. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/251883

47. Hainaut, Donatien. Moment generating function of non-Markov self-excited claims processes. In: Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Vol. 101, no. Part B, p. 406-424 (2021). doi:10.1016/j.insmatheco.2021.08.013. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/252037

48. Hainaut, Donatien. An Actuarial Approach for Modeling Pandemic Risk. In: Risks, Vol. 9, no. 1 (2021). doi:10.3390/risks9010003. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/243707

49. Denuit, Michel; Lu, Yang. Wishart‐gamma random effects models with applications to nonlife insurance. In: Journal of Risk and Insurance, Vol. 88, no. 2, p. 443-481 (2021). doi:10.1111/jori.12327. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/235873

50. Hainaut, Donatien; Leonenko, Nikolai. Option pricing in illiquid markets: a fractional jump-diffusion approach. In: Journal of computational and applied mathematics, Vol. 381, p. 112995 (2021). ISBA Discussion Paper 2020/03. doi:10.1016/j.cam.2020.112995. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/227948

51. Soetewey, Antoine; Legrand, Catherine; Denuit, Michel; Silversmit, Geert. Waiting period from diagnosis for mortgage insurance issued to cancer survivors. In: European Actuarial Journal, Vol. 11, p. 135-160 (2021). doi:10.1007/s13385-020-00254-x. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/241429

52. Denuit, Michel; Robert, Christian Y. From risk sharing to pure premium for a large number of heterogeneous losses. In: Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Vol. 96, no. January 2021, p. 116-126 (2021). doi:10.1016/j.insmatheco.2020.11.006. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/240685

53. Pechon, Florian; Denuit, Michel; Trufin, Julien. Home and Motor insurance joined at a household level using multivariate credibility. In: Annals of Actuarial Science, Vol. 15, no.1, p. 82-114 (2021). doi:10.1017/s1748499520000160. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/244116

54. Denuit, Michel; Robert, Christian Y. Efron’s asymptotic monotonicity property in the Gaussian stable domain of attraction. In: Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Vol. 186, p. 104803 (2021). doi:10.1016/j.jmva.2021.104803. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/250900

55. Diakite, Keivan; Devolder, Pierre. Progressive Pension Formula and Life Expectancy Heterogeneity. In: Risks, Vol. 9, no.7, p. 127 (2021). doi:10.3390/risks9070127. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/251345

56. Bettonville, Carole; d'Oultremont, Louise; Denuit, Michel; Trufin, Julien; Van Oirbeek, Robin. Matrix calculation for ultimate and 1-year risk in the Semi-Markov individual loss reserving model. In: Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, Vol. 2021, no.5, p. 380-407 (2021). doi:10.1080/03461238.2020.1848912. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/246704

57. Devolder, Pierre. Coût réel pour l’État du deuxième pilier belge de pension pour salariés : l’approche actuarielle bouscule quelques à priori. In: Regards économiques, Vol. 166, p. 1-12 (2021). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/251422

58. Hainaut, Donatien. A fractional multi-states model for insurance. In: Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Vol. 98, p. 120-132 (2021). doi:10.1016/j.insmatheco.2021.02.004. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/245446

59. Deelstra, Griselda; Devolder, Pierre; Melis, Roberta. Optimal annuitisation in a deterministic financial environment. In: Decisions in Economics and Finance, Vol. 44, p. 161-175 (2021). doi:10.1007/s10203-020-00316-5. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/245441

60. Denuit, Michel; Robert, Christian Y. Corrigendum and addendum to “From risk sharing to pure premium for a large number of heterogeneous losses” [Insurance: Mathematics and Economics 96 (2021) 116–126]. In: Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Vol. 101, part B, p. 640-644 (2021). doi:10.1016/j.insmatheco.2021.09.002. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/254020

61. Denuit, Michel; Robert, Christian Y. Stop-loss protection for a large P2P insurance pool. In: Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Vol. 100, p. 210-233 (2021). doi:10.1016/j.insmatheco.2021.05.007. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/248771

62. Denuit, Michel; Charpentier , Arthur; Trufin, Julien. Autocalibration and Tweedie-dominance for insurance pricing with machine learning. In: Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Vol. 101, part B, p. 485-497 (2021). doi:10.1016/j.insmatheco.2021.09.001. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/254019

63. Denuit, Michel. Reply to Jiandong Ren on Their Discussion on the Paper Titled “Size-Biased Risk Measures of Compound Sums”. In: North American Actuarial Journal, Vol. 25, no.4, p. 643 (2021). doi:10.1080/10920277.2021.1925823. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/254559

64. Denuit, Michel; Trufin, Julien. Generalization error for Tweedie models: decomposition and error reduction with bagging. In: European Actuarial Journal, Vol. 11, p. 325-331 (2021). doi:10.1007/s13385-021-00265-2. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/249142

65. Dupret, Jean-Loup; Hainaut, Donatien. Portfolio insurance under rough volatility and Volterra processes. In: International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance, Vol. 24, no. 6-7, p. 2150036 (2021). doi:10.1142/S0219024921500369. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/254079

66. Denuit, Michel. Reply to Edward Furman, Yisub Kye, and Jianxi Su on Their Discussion on the Paper Titled “Size-Biased Risk Measures of Compound Sums”. In: North American Actuarial Journal, Vol. 25, no.4, p. 637-638 (2021). doi:10.1080/10920277.2020.1848300. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/254560

67. Denuit, Michel; Trufin, Julien; Verdebout, Thomas. Testing for more positive expectation dependence with application to model comparison. In: Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Vol. 101, p. 163-172 (2021). doi:10.1016/j.insmatheco.2021.07.008. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/254018

68. Denuit, Michel; Robert, Christian Y. Risk sharing under the dominant peer‐to‐peer property and casualty insurance business models. In: Risk Management and Insurance Review, Vol. 24, no.2, p. 181-205 (2021). doi:10.1111/rmir.12180. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/248773

69. Ngugnie Diffouo, Pauline; Devolder, Pierre. Design of risk sharing for risk-linked annuities. In: International Journal of Financial Engineering, , p. 2150021 (2021). doi:10.1142/s2424786321500213. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/248895

70. Devolder, Pierre; Levantesi, Susanna; Menzietti, Massimiliano. Automatic balance mechanisms for notional defined contribution pension systems guaranteeing social adequacy and financial sustainability: an application to the Italian pension system. In: Annals of Operations Research, Vol. 299, p. 765-795 (2021). doi:10.1007/s10479-020-03819-x. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/238305

71. Hainaut, Donatien. Fractional Hawkes processes. In: Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Vol. 549 (1 July 2020). ISBA Discussion Paper 2019/16. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/219096

72. Denuit, Michel. Investing in your own and peers’ risks: the simple analytics of P2P insurance. In: European Actuarial Journal, Vol. 10, no.2, p. 335-359 (2020). doi:10.1007/s13385-020-00238-x. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/238370

73. Njike Leunga, Charles Guy; Hainaut, Donatien. Interbank credit risk modelling with self-exciting jump processes. In: International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance, Vol. 23, no.6, p. 2050039 (2020). doi:10.1142/s0219024920500399. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/238375

74. Pechon, Florian; Trufin, Julien; Denuit, Michel. Preliminary selection of risk factors in P&C ratemaking. In: Variance : advancing the science of risk, Vol. 13, no.1, p. 124-14 (2020). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/231272

75. Hainaut, Donatien; Denuit, Michel. Wavelet-based feature extraction for mortality projection. In: ASTIN Bulletin, Vol. 50, no. 3, p. 675-707 (2020). doi:10.1017/asb.2020.18. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/230890

76. Zeddouk, Fadoua; Devolder, Pierre. Mean reversion in stochastic mortality: why and how?. In: European Actuarial Journal, no. 2/2020 (2020). doi:10.1007/s13385-020-00237-y. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/235792

77. Zeddouk, Fadoua; Devolder, Pierre. Longevity Modelling and Pricing under a Dependent Multi-Cohort Framework. In: Risks, Vol. 8, no. 4, p. 121 (2020). doi:10.3390/risks8040121. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/240677

78. Devolder, Pierre; Domínguez-Fabián, Inmaculada. Thinking in Vertical: A Practical Application of the Two-Stage Pension System in Spain. In: Sustainability, Vol. 12, no.23, p. 9928 (2020). doi:10.3390/su12239928. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/240682

79. Ngugnie Diffouo, Pauline; Devolder, Pierre. Longevity Risk Measurement of Life Annuity Products. In: Risks, Vol. 8, no. 1, p. 31 (2020). doi:10.3390/risks8010031. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/235790

80. Denuit, Michel. Size-Biased Risk Measures of Compound Sums. In: North American Actuarial Journal, Vol. 24, no.4, p. 512-532 (2020). doi:10.1080/10920277.2019.1676787. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/239906

81. Deelstra, Griselda; Devolder, Pierre; Gnameho, Kossi; Hieber, Peter. VALUATION OF HYBRID FINANCIAL AND ACTUARIAL PRODUCTS IN LIFE INSURANCE BY A NOVEL THREE-STEP METHOD. In: ASTIN Bulletin, Vol. 50, no.3, p. 709-742 (2020). doi:10.1017/asb.2020.25. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/235797

82. Denuit, Michel; Robert, Christian Y. Large-Loss Behavior of Conditional Mean Risk Sharing. In: ASTIN Bulletin, Vol. 50, no.3, p. 1093-1122 (2020). doi:10.1017/asb.2020.23. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/235799

83. Devolder, Pierre. Propositions de réforme des retraites publiques en Belgique, Principes et instruments. In: Revue de l'OFCE : observations et diagnostics économiques, Vol. 170, p. 85-104 (2020). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/245436

84. Schokkaert, Erik; Devolder, Pierre; Hindriks, Jean; Vandenbroucke, Frank. Towards an equitable and sustainable points system. A proposal for pension reform in Belgium. In: Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, Vol. 19, no. 1, p. 49-79 (2020). doi:10.1017/s1474747218000112. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/200754

85. Denuit, Michel; Trufin, Julien. Des tables de mortalité, espérances de vie, durées de vie moyennes et probables et de leur bon usage dans l’évaluation des droits viagers. In: Revue du Notariat Belge, Vol. 3142, p. 574-608 (2019). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/219792

86. Denuit, Michel; Mesfioui, Mhamed; Trufin, Julien. Concordance-based predictive measures in regression models for discrete responses. In: Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, Vol. 2019, no.10, p. 824-836 (2019). doi:10.1080/03461238.2019.1624274. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/222032

87. Hainaut, Donatien; Deelstra, Griselda. A Self-Exciting Switching Jump Diffusion: properties, calibration and hitting time.. In: Quantitative Finance, Vol. 19, no. 3, p. 407-426 (2019). doi:10.1080/14697688.2018.1501511. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/201555

88. Denuit, Michel. Size-biased transform and conditional mean risk sharing, with application to P2P insurance and tontines. In: ASTIN Bulletin, Vol. 49, no.03, p. 591-617 (2019). doi:10.1017/asb.2019.24. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/219794

89. Devolder, Pierre; Hindriks, Jean. Réforme des pensions, une urgence absolue. In: Pyramides : revue du Centre d'Etudes et de Recherches en Administration Publique, Vol. 31/32, p. 233-260 (2019). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/221567

90. Devolder, Pierre. Une alternative à la pension à points : le compte individuel pension en euros. In: Regards économiques, Vol. 150, no. septembre, p. 1-10 (2019). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/235794

91. Alonso-García, Jennifer; Devolder, Pierre. Continuous time model for notional defined contribution pension schemes: Liquidity and solvency. In: Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Vol. 88, p. 57-76 (2019). doi:10.1016/j.insmatheco.2019.06.001. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/216684

92. Zeddouk, Fadoua; Devolder, Pierre. Pricing of Longevity Derivatives and Cost of Capital. In: Risks, Vol. 7(2), no. 41, p. 1-29 (2019). doi:10.3390/risks7020041. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/216695

93. Pechon, Florian; Denuit, Michel; Trufin, Julien. Multivariate modelling of multiple guarantees in motor insurance of a household. In: European Actuarial Journal, Vol. 9, p. 575-602 (2019). doi:10.1007/s13385-019-00201-5. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/216579

94. Hanbali, Hamza; Denuit, Michel; Dhaene, Jan; Trufin, Julien. A dynamic equivalence principle for systematic longevity risk management. In: Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Vol. 86, p. 158-167 (2019). doi:10.1016/j.insmatheco.2019.02.004. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/214835

95. Hainaut, Donatien. A self-organizing predictive map for non-life insurance. In: European Actuarial Journal, Vol. 9, p. 173-207 (2019). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/207819

96. Devolder, Pierre; de Valeriola, Sébastien. Between DB and DC: optimal hybrid PAYG pension schemes. In: European Actuarial Journal, Vol. 2, p. 463-482 (2019). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/235789

97. Denuit, Michel; Sznajder, Dominik; Trufin, Julien. Model selection based on Lorenz and concentration curves, Gini indices and convex order. In: Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Vol. 89, p. 128-139 (2019). doi:10.1016/j.insmatheco.2019.09.001. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/220948

98. Hanbali, Hamza; Claassens, Hubert; Denuit, Michel; Dhaene, Jan; Trufin, Julien. Once covered, forever covered: The actuarial challenges of the Belgian private health insurance system. In: Health Policy, Vol. 123, no.10, p. 970-975 (2019). doi:10.1016/j.healthpol.2019.07.005. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/220112

99. Denuit, Michel; Guillen, Montserrat; Trufin, Julien. Multivariate credibility modelling for usage-based motor insurance pricing with behavioural data. In: Annals of Actuarial Science, Vol. 13, no.2, p. 378-399 (2019). doi:10.1017/s1748499518000349. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/219795

100. Hainaut, Donatien; Moraux, Franck. A switching self-exciting jump diffusion process for stock prices. In: Annals of Finance, Vol. 15, no. 2, p. 267-306 (2019). doi:10.1007/s10436-018-0340-5. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/204024

101. Hainaut, Donatien. Hedging of crop harvest with derivatives on temperature. In: Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Vol. 84, p. 98-114 (2019). doi:10.1016/j.insmatheco.2018.09.011. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/203984

102. Hainaut, Donatien; Goutte, Stéphane. A switching microstructure model for stock prices. In: Mathematics and Financial Economics, Vol. 13, no. 3, p. 459-490 (2019). doi:10.1007/s11579-018-00234-6. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/208804

103. Denuit, Michel; Vernic, Raluca. Bivariate Bernoulli Weighted Sums and Distribution of Single-Period Tontine Benefits. In: Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Vol. 20, no.4, p. 1403-1416 (2018). doi:10.1007/s11009-018-9625-4. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/207299

104. Hainaut, Donatien; Moraux, Franck. Hedging of options in presence of jump clustering. In: The Journal of Computational Finance, Vol. 22, no. 3, p. 1-35 (2018). ISBA Discussion Paper 2017/12. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/185480

105. Hainaut, Donatien. A Neural-Network Analyzer for Mortality Forecast. In: ASTIN Bulletin, Vol. 48, no. 2, p. 481-508 (2018). doi:10.1017/asb.2017.45. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/196618

106. Christiansen, Marcus; Denuit, Michel; Lucas, Nathalie; Schmidt, Jan-Philipp. Projection models for health expenses. In: Annals of Actuarial Science, Vol. 12, no.1, p. 185-203 (2018). doi:10.1017/s1748499517000240. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/203967

107. Hainaut, Donatien; Deelstra, Griselda. A Bivariate Mutually-Excited Switching Jump Diffusion (BMESJD) for Asset Prices. In: Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Vol. 21, no. 4, p. 1337-1375 (2019). doi:10.1007/s11009-018-9678-4. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/203985

108. Hainaut, Donatien; Devolder, Pierre; Pelsser, Antoon. Robust evaluation of SCR for participating life insurances under Solvency II. In: Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Vol. 79, p. 107-123 (2018). doi:10.1016/j.insmatheco.2017.11.009. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/196615

109. Dominguez Fabian, Immaculada; Devolder, Pierre; del Olmo García, Fransisco; Herce, José A. A Two-Step Mixed Pension System or How to Reinvent Social Security with the Help of Notional Accounts and Term Annuities. In: Retirement Management Journal, Vol. 7, no.1, p. 42-51 (2018). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/203971

110. Pechon, Florian; Trufin, Julien; Denuit, Michel. Multivariate modelling of household claim frequencies in motor third-party liability insurance. In: ASTIN Bulletin, Vol. 48, no.3, p. 969-993 (2018). doi:10.1017/asb.2018.21. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/208980

111. Bernard, Carole; Denuit, Michel; Vanduffel, Steven. Measuring Portfolio Risk Under Partial Dependence Information. In: Journal of Risk and Insurance, Vol. 85, no. 3, p. 843-863 (2018). doi:10.1111/jori.12165. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/201791

112. Hainaut, Donatien. Calendar spread exchange options pricing with Gaussian random fields. In: Risks, Vol. 6, no. 3, p. 77 (2018). doi:10.3390/risks6030077. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/201554

113. Denuit, Michel; Trufin, Julien. Collective loss reserving with two types of claims in motor third party liability insurance. In: Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics, Vol. 335, p. 168-184 (2018). doi:10.1016/j.cam.2017.11.044. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/195213

114. Denuit, Michel. Risk apportionment and multiply monotone targets. In: Mathematical Social Sciences, Vol. 92, p. 74-77 (2018). doi:10.1016/j.mathsocsci.2017.09.008. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/195216

115. Denuit, Michel; Legrand, Catherine. Risk classification in life and health insurance: extension to continuous covariates. In: European Actuarial Journal, Vol. 8, no.1, p. 245-255 (2018). doi:10.1007/s13385-018-0171-9. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/199778

116. Devolder, Pierre; Hindriks, Jean. La pension à points : 5 principes pour plus d'équité dans les régimes de pension en Belgique. In: Regards Economiques, Vol. 139, p. 1-7 (2018). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/199436

117. Hainaut, Donatien. Continuous Mixed-Laplace Jump Diffusion Models for Stocks and Commodities. In: Quantitative Finance and Economics, Vol. 1, no. 2, p. 145-173 (2017). doi:10.3934/QFE.2017.2.145. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/188684

118. Dhaene, Jan; Godecharle, Els; Antonio, Katrien; Denuit, Michel; Hanbali, Hamza. Lifelong health insurance covers with surrender values: updating mechanisms in the presence of medical inflation. In: ASTIN Bulletin, Vol. 47, p. 803-836 (2017). doi:10.1017/asb.2017.13. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/191360

119. Hainaut, Donatien. Clustered Lévy processes and their financial applications. In: Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics, Vol. 319, p. 117-140 (2017). doi:10.1016/j.cam.2016.12.040. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/185266

120. Denuit, Michel; Mesfioui, Mhamed. Bounds on Kendall’s tau for zero-inflated continuous variables. In: Statistics & Probability Letters, Vol. 126, p. 173-178 (2017). doi:10.1016/j.spl.2017.03.005. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/185242

121. Hainaut, Donatien. Contagion modeling between the financial and insurance markets with time changed processes. In: Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Vol. 74, p. 63-77 (2017). doi:10.1016/j.insmatheco.2017.02.011. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/185265

122. Denuit, Michel; Trufin, Julien. Beyond the Tweedie Reserving Model: The Collective Approach to Loss Development. In: North American Actuarial Journal, Vol. 21, p. 611-619 (2017). doi:10.1080/10920277.2017.1353428. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/191402

123. Gbari, Kock Yed Ake Samuel; Poulain, Michel; Dal, Luc; Denuit, Michel. Extreme Value Analysis of Mortality at the Oldest Ages: A Case Study Based on Individual Ages at Death. In: North American Actuarial Journal, Vol. 21, no. 3, p. 397-416 (2017). doi:10.1080/10920277.2017.1301260. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/187127

124. Cheung, Ka Chun; Denuit, Michel; Dhaene, Jan. Tail mutual exclusivity and Tail-VaR lower bounds. In: Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, Vol. 2017, no.1, p. 88-104 (2017). doi:10.1080/03461238.2015.1084945. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/180457

125. Devolder, Pierre; Lebègue, Adrien. Iterated VaR or CTE measures: A false good idea?. In: Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, Vol. 2017, no. 4, p. 287-318 (2017). doi:10.1080/03461238.2015.1126343. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/170565

126. Hindriks, Jean; Devolder, Pierre; Schokkaert, Erik; Vandenbroucke, F.I.G. Réforme des pensions légales: le système de pensions à points. In: Regards économiques, , no.130 (2017). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/183443

127. Denuit, Michel; Dhaene, Jan; Hanbali, Hamza; Lucas, Nathalie; Trufin, Julien. Updating mechanism for lifelong insurance contracts subject to medical inflation. In: European Actuarial Journal, Vol. 7, no.1, p. 133-163 (2017). doi:10.1007/s13385-016-0142-y. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/185520

128. Denuit, Michel; Mesfioui, Mhamed. Preserving the Rothschild–Stiglitz type increase in risk with background risk: A characterization. In: Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Vol. 72, p. 1-5 (2017). doi:10.1016/j.insmatheco.2016.10.012 (Accepté/Sous presse). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/179332

129. Schokkaert, Erik; Devolder, Pierre; Hindriks, Jean; Vandenbroucke, Frank. Naar een nieuw sociaal contract - Het pensioen of punten. In: Leuvense Economische Standpunten, Vol. 162 (2017). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/184359

130. Devolder, Pierre; de Valeriola, Sébastien. Minimum Protection in DC Funding Pension Plans and Margrabe Options. In: Risks, Vol. 5, no. 5, p. 1-14 (2017). doi:10.3390/risks5010005. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/181085

131. Alonso-García, Jennifer; Devolder, Pierre. Optimal mix between pay-as-you-go and funding for DC pension schemes in an overlapping generations model. In: Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Vol. 70, p. 224-236 (2016). doi:10.1016/j.insmatheco.2016.06.011. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/198962

132. Hainaut, Donatien. A model for interest rates with clustering effects. In: Quantitative Finance, Vol. 16, no.8, p. 1203-1218 (2016). doi:10.1080/14697688.2015.1135251. http://hdl.handle.net/2078/185381

133. Hainaut, Donatien. A bivariate Hawkes process for interest rate modeling. In: Economic Modelling, Vol. 57, no.0, p. 180-196 (2016). doi:10.1016/j.econmod.2016.04.016. http://hdl.handle.net/2078/185380

134. Hainaut, Donatien; Shen, Yang; Zeng, Yan. How do capital structure and economic regime affect fair prices of bank’s equity and liabilities?. In: Annals of Operations Research, Vol. 2015, no.61, p. 276-285 (2016). doi:10.1016/j.insmatheco.2015.01.011. http://hdl.handle.net/2078/185382

135. Denuit, Michel; Eeckhoudt, Louis. Risk aversion, prudence, and asset allocation : a review and some new developments. In: Theory and Decision : an international journal for multidisciplinary advances in decision sciences, Vol. 80, no. 2, p. 227-243 (2016). doi:10.1007/s11238-015-9503-2. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/171514

136. Denuit, Michel; Eeckhoudt, Louis; Liu, Liqun; Meyer, Jack. Tradeoffs for Downside Risk-Averse Decision-Makers and the Self-Protection Decision. In: The Geneva Risk and Insurance Review, Vol. 41, no.1, p. 19-47 (2016). doi:10.1057/grir.2015.3. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/172847

137. Hainaut, Donatien. Impact of volatility clustering on equity indexed annuities. In: Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Vol. 71, no.0, p. 367-381 (2016). doi:10.1016/j.insmatheco.2016.10.009. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/179342

138. Gbari, Kock Yed Ake Samuel; Denuit, Michel. Stochastic approximations in CBD mortality projection models. In: Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics, Vol. 296, p. 102-115 (2016). doi:10.1016/j.cam.2015.09.020. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/168080

139. Denuit, Michel; Mesfioui, Mhamed. Multivariate Higher-Degree Stochastic Increasing Convexity. In: Journal of Theoretical Probability, Vol. 29, no.4, p. 1599-1623 (2016). doi:10.1007/s10959-015-0628-6. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/179329

140. Denuit, Michel; Trufin, Julien. From regulatory life tables to stochastic mortality projections: The exponential decline model. In: Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Vol. 71, p. 295-303 (2016). doi:10.1016/j.insmatheco.2016.09.015. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/179330

141. Cadena, Meitner; Denuit, Michel. Semi-parametric accelerated hazard relational models with applications to mortality projections. In: Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Vol. 68, no. May 2016, p. 1-16 (2016). doi:10.1016/j.insmatheco.2016.02.003. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/172814

142. Schinzinger, Edo; Denuit, Michel; Christiansen, Marcus. A multivariate evolutionary credibility model for mortality improvement rates. In: Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Vol. 69, p. 70-81 (2016). doi:10.1016/j.insmatheco.2016.04.004. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/174704

143. Dhaene, Jan; Stassen, Ben; Devolder, Pierre; Vellekoop, Michel. The minimal entropy martingale measure in a market of traded financial and actuarial risks. In: Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics, Vol. 282, p. 111-133 (2015). doi:10.1016/j.cam.2014.12.004. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/162052

144. Charpentier, Arthur; Denuit, Michel; Elie, Romuald. Segmentation et mutualisation, les deux faces d'une même pièce?. In: Risques, Vol. 103, p. 57-61 (2015). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/168079

145. Denuit, Michel; Haberman, Steven; Renshaw, Arthur E. Longevity-contingent deferred life annuities. In: Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, Vol. 14, no.03, p. 315-327 (2015). doi:10.1017/S147474721400050X. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/165136

146. Denuit, Michel; Huang, Rachel; Tzeng, Larry. Almost expectation and excess dependence notions. In: Theory and Decision : an international journal for multidisciplinary advances in decision sciences, Vol. 79, no. 3, p. 375-401 (2015). doi:10.1007/s11238-014-9476-6. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/168077

147. Denuit, Michel; Trufin, Julien. Model points and Tail-VaR in life insurance. In: Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Vol. 64, p. 268-272 (2015). doi:10.1016/j.insmatheco.2015.06.002. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/165134

148. Denuit, Michel; Trufin, Julien. Des cadences collectives de règlement au provisionnement individuel. In: L'Actuariel, Vol. 18, p. 42-44 (2015). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/170294

149. Mesfioui, Mhamed; Denuit, Michel. Comonotonicity, orthant convex order and sums of random variables. In: Statistics & Probability Letters, Vol. 96, p. 356-364 (2015). doi:10.1016/j.spl.2014.10.004. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/154663

150. Devolder, Pierre; Melis, Roberta. Optimal mix between pay as you go and funding for pension liabilities in a stochastic framework. In: Astin Bulletin : the journal of the International Actuarial Association, Vol. 45, no.3, p. 551-575 (2015). doi:10.1017/asb.2015.14. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/168104

151. Denuit, Michel. Mécanisme de conversion de l'usufruit: le point de vue d'un actuaire. In: Revue du Notariat Belge, Vol. 3097, p. 368-374 (2015). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/165135

152. Denuit, Michel; Kiriliouk, Anna; Segers, Johan. Max-factor individual risk models with application to credit portfolios. In: Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Vol. 62, p. 162-172 (2015). doi:10.1016/j.insmatheco.2015.03.006. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/159060

Book Chapters

1. Denuit, Michel; Lucas, Nathalie; Pitacco, Ermanno. Pricing and Reserving in LTC Insurance. In: Actuarial Aspects of Long Term Care (Springer Actuarial book series (SPACT); xxx), Springer Nature Switzerland AG: (Switzerland) Basel, 2019, p. 129-158. 9783030056599. xxx xxx. doi:10.1007/978-3-030-05660-5_5. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/216511

2. Devolder, Pierre; Piscopo, Gabriella. Solvency Analysis of defined benefit pension schemes. In: Mathematical and Statistical Methods for Actuarial Sciences and Finance , Springer International Publishing: Switzerland, 2014, p. 141-150. 978-3-319-02499-8. xxx xxx. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-02499-8. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/152639

Books

1. Hainaut, Donatien. Continuous Time Processes for Finance : Switching, Self-exciting, Fractional and other Recent Dynamics. Springer, 2022. 978-3-031-06360-2. 345 pages. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/264705

2. Denuit, Michel; Hainaut, Donatien; Trufin, Julien. Effective Statistical Learning Methods for Actuaries II : Tree-Based Methods and Extensions. Springer Nature Switzerland AG: Cham, Switzerland, 2020. 9783030575557. 228 pages. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/239911

3. Denuit, Michel; Hainaut, Donatien; Trufin, Julien. Effective Statistical Learning Methods for Actuaries I : GLMs and Extensions. Springer: Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2019, 2019. 9783030258191; 9783030258207. 441 pages. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/219796

4. Denuit, Michel; Hainaut, Donatien; Trufin, Julien. Effective Statistical Learning Methods for Actuaries III : Neural Networks and Extensions. Springer: Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2019, 2019. 9783030258276; 9783030258269. 250 pages. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/222289

5. Hindriks, Jean; Devolder, Pierre. Quel avenir pour nos pensions ? Les grands défis de la réforme des pensions. De Boeck: Bruxelles, 2015. 9782804190415. 198 pages. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/165597

6. Boulet, Jacques; Cantillon, Béa; Devolder, Pierre; Hindriks, Jean; Janvier, Ria; Masai, Françoise; Perl, Gabriel; Schokkaert, Erik; Stevens, Yves; Vandenbroucke, Frank. Métiers pénibles, pensions à temps partiel et flexibilité équitable dans le système de pension. Avis complémentaire de la Commission de réforme des pensions 2020-2040. SPF Sécurité Sociale: Bruxelles, 2015. 44 pages. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/165556